NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	125		Excitement	3.1 [1187]		MVP	J.R. Smith (CLE): +25.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	1.7 [1140]		LVP	Nikola Pekovic (MIN): -7.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.29	0.00	0.04	12	104%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.02	11	61%	0.10	0	0.00	11	91%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	5	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.01	0.07	19	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	1	50%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	12	46%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	-0.01	4	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.17	0.00	0.08	19	70%	0.13	3	-0.04	12	67%	-0.03
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	13	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.13	-0.00	0.08	14	79%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.05	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.3	32.3	16.0	28.5	3.0	28.6	137.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.3%

CLE +8.4%

CLE +5.6%

CLE +0.7%

CLE +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIN	NBA	CLE	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	14.9	128.9	102.1	105.1
season	15.8	14.8		110.3	104.8
opponent	15.0	14.9		108.4	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.0	16.0	14.7	16.4	15.3
MIN	16.0	12.8	14.7	14.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	45	45	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.24	24	2	22	16.1	14.5	1.59	15.3	13.7	1.68
Kevin Love	63	63	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.05	16	10	6	14.9	15.9	-0.96	14.6	14.2	0.35
LeBron James	66	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.22	21	5	16	14.9	16.1	-1.23	14.6	14.1	0.46
J.R. Smith	38	36	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	12	2	15.3	15.2	0.10	15.5	13.8	1.74
Tristan Thompson	60	57	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	15	-4	15.2	15.3	-0.06	14.7	14.0	0.74
Timofey Mozgov	48	50	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.30	18	8	10	15.2	15.3	-0.14	14.0	14.9	-0.89
Iman Shumpert	59	61	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.19	12	14	-2	15.2	15.3	-0.10	13.8	15.5	-1.74
Richard Jefferson	31	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.04	5	21	-16	16.1	14.9	1.23	14.1	14.6	-0.46
Kyrie Irving	55	54	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.22	9	17	-8	15.9	14.4	1.55	14.5	14.4	0.07
James Jones	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	12.8	15.5	-2.74	12.4	14.7	-2.33
Jared Cunningham	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	12.8	15.5	-2.74	12.4	14.7	-2.33

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	14	16	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-31	36	14.8	14.4	0.41	17.1	14.9	2.24
Adreian Payne	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-27	28	9.2	14.7	-5.52	16.2	15.2	1.03
Kevin Martin	27	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.18	-7	-19	12	13.8	14.7	-0.91	16.8	14.7	2.11
Shabazz Muhammad	55	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.18	-10	-16	6	13.7	15.4	-1.71	14.9	15.8	-0.93
Gorgui Dieng	46	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-24	22	13.9	14.9	-0.99	13.8	16.5	-2.68
Zach LaVine	47	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.27	-14	-12	-2	14.0	14.8	-0.84	15.2	15.3	-0.11
Nemanja Bjelica	21	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	-20	14	13.1	14.8	-1.65	15.8	15.1	0.73
Karl-Anthony Towns	71	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.29	-22	-4	-18	15.0	12.9	2.06	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Ricky Rubio	50	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-14	2	14.8	14.0	0.84	15.3	15.2	0.11
Nikola Pekovic	29	30	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	-7	-12	14.7	14.3	0.37	15.3	15.3	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	42	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	-10	-6	15.4	13.7	1.71	15.8	14.9	0.93
Andrew Wiggins	78	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.34	-28	2	-30	15.0	12.2	2.83	15.1	15.9	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, DET 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
NOH 96, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.8%
MIA 93, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0	96.4%