NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	7.2 [429]		MVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): +18.7%
Chicago Bulls	105		Comeback	1.1 [798]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (CHI): -17.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.08	0.01	6	82%	0.22	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.05
Terry Rozier	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.02	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	15	69%	0.18	5	-0.12	6	33%	-0.07
Avery Bradley	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	12	57%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	9	32%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Al Horford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.03
Jaylen Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.09	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.14	0.01	13	64%	0.23	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	17	52%	0.12	0	0.00	12	67%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	11	62%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	18	55%	0.15	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	8	40%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.04
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	9	20%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.6	34.2	17.6	28.4	2.7	37.4	150.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -8.6%

CHI +10.2%

CHI +34.2%

CHI +13.0%

CHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.0	15.4	14.8	101.0	107.1	107.7
season	14.7	15.1		110.1	105.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		105.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.4	14.2	14.1	13.4	14.0
CHI	14.4	16.5	14.7	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	21	22	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.15	8	-14	22	14.4	13.9	0.51	14.8	15.5	-0.75
Jonas Jerebko	21	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-4	2	14.9	13.8	1.11	15.1	15.4	-0.38
Tyler Zeller	44	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-8	10	14.2	13.9	0.23	14.0	16.4	-2.42
Terry Rozier	46	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-6	6	15.4	12.8	2.61	14.8	15.8	-0.94
Al Horford	60	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-3	0	14.2	13.8	0.35	15.4	15.3	0.14
Jae Crowder	72	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-4	2	13.9	14.5	-0.64	15.5	15.0	0.54
Amir Johnson	30	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	5	-16	13.7	14.2	-0.48	17.2	14.5	2.76
Isaiah Thomas	72	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	0	-6	13.4	15.9	-2.52	15.1	16.2	-1.19
Jaylen Brown	42	41	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	0	-6	13.8	14.2	-0.39	15.2	15.5	-0.28
Avery Bradley	82	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	4	-14	13.7	15.6	-1.83	16.0	11.7	4.36

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	68	68	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	-9	24	14.7	16.9	-2.27	14.0	14.0	0.04
Jimmy Butler	75	75	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	-2	10	15.6	14.5	1.09	13.5	15.7	-2.23
Nikola Mirotic	56	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	7	-8	15.8	14.8	1.04	14.4	13.5	0.90
Taj Gibson	57	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	-5	16	15.2	15.5	-0.27	14.0	14.0	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	38	34	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	3	0	15.1	15.5	-0.45	13.8	14.2	-0.41
Robin Lopez	58	56	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	1	4	15.4	15.3	0.14	13.8	14.4	-0.61
Rajon Rondo	68	67	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	3	0	15.7	14.6	1.09	13.6	14.9	-1.28
Doug McDermott	42	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	11	-16	15.1	15.5	-0.38	14.5	13.6	0.97
Isaiah Canaan	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	14.4	15.5	-1.08	15.6	13.8	1.80
Cristiano Felicio	14	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	13	-20	16.5	15.2	1.33	15.4	13.8	1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.96,0.99,1	92.9%
NOH 81, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.98,1,1	92.0%
PHX 82, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.97,1	92.0%