NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	93		Excitement	4.6 [902]		MVP	Carl Landry (PHI): +30.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	2.5 [684]		LVP	Alexis Ajinca (NOP): -11.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	9	86%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jordan Hamilton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	7	50%	0.05	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	16	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	55%	0.00	4	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Tim Frazier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	12	43%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	12	29%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	12	50%	0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.22	0.06	-0.02	10	96%	0.30	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	-0.00	12	67%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	7	81%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	11	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	8	44%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	16	32%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	25.3	15.6	27.0	2.0	27.2	121.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +39.5%

PHI +4.0%

NOP -5.9%

PHI +11.2%

PHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHI	NBA	NOP	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	16.0	14.9	97.9	113.8	105.1
season	14.3	14.8		104.3	97.7
opponent	14.2	15.0		108.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.8	16.7	13.0	15.7	14.5
PHI	16.0	14.7	15.8	17.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	49	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.30	9	-23	32	13.8	15.2	-1.46	16.7	15.2	1.58
Tim Frazier	70	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.25	5	-19	24	14.4	14.8	-0.43	16.2	15.4	0.82
Luke Babbitt	66	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-8	2	14.5	14.4	0.10	15.0	18.3	-3.39
Dante Cunningham	65	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-6	-2	13.8	15.9	-2.02	15.6	16.9	-1.30
James Ennis	58	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-2	-10	14.3	14.8	-0.45	16.7	14.9	1.78
Kendrick Perkins	46	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.21	-23	9	-32	15.2	13.8	1.46	15.2	16.7	-1.58
Jordan Hamilton	50	49	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	5	-24	15.5	13.4	2.10	16.3	15.7	0.55
Toney Douglas	71	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.09	-16	2	-18	14.6	14.2	0.42	16.4	14.9	1.50

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	64	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.10	21	-7	28	16.0	15.9	0.10	14.7	14.1	0.61
Carl Landry	48	48	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.05	19	-5	24	17.4	14.5	2.94	14.7	14.3	0.37
Hollis Thompson	43	44	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.17	23	-9	32	15.6	16.4	-0.81	14.6	14.4	0.20
TJ McConnell	37	38	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.24	17	-3	20	15.8	16.1	-0.27	14.2	14.7	-0.54
Nerlens Noel	35	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	5	4	15.8	16.1	-0.32	13.9	14.8	-0.96
Ish Smith	57	57	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.33	-3	17	-20	16.1	15.8	0.27	14.7	14.2	0.54
Robert Covington	72	70	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	10	-6	15.7	17.1	-1.42	14.6	14.2	0.44
Isaiah Canaan	42	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.35	-10	24	-34	17.5	14.8	2.71	14.7	14.3	0.39
Jerami Grant	49	50	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	18	-22	14.7	17.4	-2.73	14.4	14.6	-0.22
Elton Brand	23	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	20	-26	15.1	16.3	-1.15	13.8	14.7	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 87, GSW 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.0%
MEM 82, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
SAS 105, GSW 122	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%