NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	3.9 [1074]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +15.3%
Golden State Warriors	117		Comeback	1.5 [1316]		LVP	Hollis Thompson (PHI): -8.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Canaan	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.00	-0.01	9	62%	0.11	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Carl Landry	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	15	65%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Ish Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	14	71%	0.08	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.05	12	67%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	6	83%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Wood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	10	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.25	-0.01	0.09	27	70%	0.19	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.01	-0.03	10	81%	0.19	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	65%	0.12	4	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	5	46%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	16	54%	0.04	4	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	27.3	14.8	25.2	2.4	29.6	126.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +47.8%

PHI -0.0%

GSW +13.9%

PHI -15.4%

GSW +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	GSW	NBA	PHI	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	13.7	14.9	107.1	118.2	105.1
season	14.8	13.7		97.7	112.3
opponent	15.1	14.2		102.9	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.4	17.7	16.6	14.8	15.6
GSW	12.8	12.8	13.4	15.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	64	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-17	22	15.4	15.9	-0.49	14.5	12.3	2.13
Jerami Grant	8	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.12	-8	-4	-4	11.9	15.9	-4.01	10.9	14.0	-3.08
Nik Stauskas	62	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-16	20	15.7	15.3	0.40	13.8	13.5	0.32
Elton Brand	32	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-11	10	15.0	15.8	-0.88	14.4	13.3	1.06
Carl Landry	52	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-10	8	15.0	16.2	-1.24	13.8	13.6	0.20
Ish Smith	74	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-13	14	15.5	15.8	-0.36	14.1	12.6	1.51
Christian Wood	10	9	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-3	-6	18.6	15.2	3.38	12.1	13.8	-1.73
Kendall Marshall	19	20	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	0	-12	15.7	15.5	0.22	13.1	13.8	-0.67
TJ McConnell	45	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	0	-12	16.2	15.0	1.26	13.3	14.1	-0.80
Isaiah Canaan	58	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	3	-18	15.4	15.8	-0.40	13.5	13.9	-0.42
Hollis Thompson	66	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	-1	-10	16.0	14.6	1.48	13.2	14.7	-1.51

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	79	79	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	0	12	14.2	11.6	2.62	15.5	15.6	-0.09
Brandon Rush	35	33	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-2	16	12.7	14.2	-1.50	16.2	15.2	0.98
Ian Clark	41	41	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	4	4	13.7	13.7	0.03	16.1	15.2	0.88
Marreese Speights	41	38	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	8	-4	13.9	13.6	0.28	15.1	15.8	-0.74
Leandro Barbosa	48	45	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	8	-4	13.9	13.5	0.37	15.6	15.6	-0.01
Draymond Green	75	75	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	3	6	13.4	14.7	-1.35	15.5	15.7	-0.23
Harrison Barnes	66	67	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	5	2	13.7	13.7	0.03	15.6	15.5	0.11
Stephen Curry	68	69	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	8	-4	13.5	14.0	-0.46	15.7	15.1	0.60
Andrew Bogut	29	29	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	10	-8	13.7	13.7	-0.04	14.9	15.8	-0.90
James Michael McAdoo	13	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	16	-20	14.5	13.6	0.89	14.4	15.7	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 109, OKC 124	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
BOS 79, IND 106	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
DAL 100, GSW 117	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%