NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	132		Excitement	12.9 [7]		MVP	Gorgui Dieng (MIN): +59.0%
Washington Wizards	129		Comeback	40.0 [11]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -23.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng	0.59	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.59	0.15	0.45	0.01	11	78%	0.59	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.06,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.34	0.17	0.17	0.00	17	74%	0.46	1	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25	0.05	0.22	0.02	21	61%	0.43	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	5	83%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Greg Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	6	57%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	12	46%	-0.03	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Andrew Wiggins	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.24,-0.24	-0.04	-0.19	0.01	14	44%	-0.07	2	-0.16	8	100%	0.06

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.15	0.00	12	68%	0.28	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.15,0.32,0.32,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.12	-0.00	18	65%	0.31	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.06
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	13	54%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	11	63%	0.06	5	-0.17	8	37%	-0.33
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.13	-0.13	0.06	-0.18	0.00	8	62%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.11	-0.02	22	47%	-0.04	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	28.8	15.8	24.5	2.4	33.9	1.8	16.1	1.8	20.2	169.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +79.8%

MIN +20.8%

WAS -35.0%

WAS -14.7%

WAS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	WAS	NBA	MIN	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	15.7	14.9	114.8	113.2	105.1
season	14.8	13.8		104.8	104.1
opponent	15.1	15.0		104.6	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	14.3	13.4	15.6	15.5	14.7	14.7
WAS	13.4	15.4	14.4	17.3	19.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	77	76	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.51	16	-13	29	14.6	14.8	-0.23	16.8	13.6	3.20
Andrew Wiggins	84	82	0.98	-0.48	1.45	0.60	13	-10	23	14.7	14.5	0.24	16.6	13.5	3.07
Ricky Rubio	85	85	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.51	10	-7	17	15.0	13.7	1.30	16.4	13.8	2.65
Zach LaVine	87	86	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.55	8	-5	13	14.3	15.8	-1.49	16.5	13.2	3.30
Karl-Anthony Towns	93	93	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	0	3	14.8	14.0	0.82	16.4	12.7	3.71
Tayshaun Prince	30	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	6	-9	14.9	14.6	0.28	13.1	16.6	-3.49
Nemanja Bjelica	28	29	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.16	-4	7	-11	14.2	14.8	-0.59	13.5	16.5	-3.02
Tyus Jones	29	29	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.13	-7	10	-17	14.1	14.9	-0.79	13.8	16.4	-2.65
Shabazz Muhammad	31	32	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	-0.18	-10	13	-23	14.5	14.7	-0.24	13.5	16.6	-3.07
Greg Smith	31	29	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	-0.17	-11	14	-25	15.2	14.5	0.77	13.2	16.6	-3.39

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	29	30	0.39	-0.89	1.29	0.01	13	-16	29	13.2	16.6	-3.35	14.3	14.8	-0.49
Jared Dudley	36	37	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.27	11	-14	25	15.5	15.9	-0.39	14.9	14.6	0.30
Ramon Sessions	20	20	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.13	-4	1	-5	14.4	16.0	-1.56	15.1	14.6	0.59
Markieff Morris	21	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-1	-1	13.4	16.3	-2.89	14.2	14.8	-0.54
Garrett Temple	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.12	-8	5	-13	13.5	16.4	-2.85	13.3	15.1	-1.75
Nene	62	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	6	-15	16.2	15.1	1.11	16.0	13.2	2.83
John Wall	94	95	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.54	1	-4	5	16.0	14.4	1.56	14.6	15.1	-0.59
Marcin Gortat	83	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.45	-2	-1	-1	16.3	14.4	1.90	14.2	15.9	-1.68
Otto Porter	86	86	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.54	-1	-2	1	16.5	13.3	3.25	14.8	14.1	0.70
Bradley Beal	88	89	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.48	-12	9	-21	16.4	13.6	2.75	14.9	13.9	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.67,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.85,0.54,0.69,0.37,0.43,0.85,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.9,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 117, BOS 126	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.55,0.64,0.74,0.9,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1	87.4%
NJN 104, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.96,1	86.8%
MIN 89, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.73,1	86.7%