inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 107 Excitement9.3 [114] MVPPatrick Beverley (HOU): +20.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder 111 Comeback2.3 [692] LVPTrevor Ariza (HOU): -19.8%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patrick Beverley0.210,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.090.130.011267%0.231-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Howard0.160,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.120.050.01884%0.201-0.04367%0.01
Jason Terry0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.130.030.09-0.00667%0.151-0.0200%0.00
Clint Capela0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00362%0.0300.00250%-0.01
KJ McDaniels-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01955%0.053-0.082100%0.02
Michael Beasley-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.000.001246%0.043-0.1000%0.00
James Harden-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07-0.00-0.07-0.001757%0.265-0.338100%0.09
Corey Brewer-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00621%-0.0800.00250%-0.01
Trevor Ariza-0.200,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2-0.06-0.15-0.011836%-0.151-0.0500%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dion Waiters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.120.060.001177%0.191-0.0200%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.16,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.13,0.140.14-0.040.16-0.021848%0.274-0.12887%0.02
Enes Kanter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.050.00471%0.1100.00667%-0.03
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.070.070.040.050.02473%0.111-0.04367%-0.01
Andre Roberson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.070.070.020.04-0.00367%0.0700.0000%0.00
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.020.00667%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Cameron Payne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.00642%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.02,-0.01-0.01-0.040.02-0.001950%0.094-0.10875%0.03
Serge Ibaka0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.040.021544%-0.042-0.06450%-0.06
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.0050%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.13.528.517.428.40.641.5143.9
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU -4.7%
OKC +4.3%
OKC +13.0%
OKC +36.1%
OKC +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUOKCNBAHOUOKCNBA
this game14.514.114.9105.9109.9105.1
season14.014.4105.9111.5
opponent15.115.1104.4106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU14.314.615.513.514.5
OKC13.314.814.513.714.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
KJ McDaniels44-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-3213.514.5-0.9916.014.02.02
Clint Capela1920-0.01-0.490.47-0.041-5614.914.40.5415.913.62.30
Michael Beasley3333-0.01-0.490.470.04-2-2013.514.9-1.4014.613.80.81
Corey Brewer4242-0.05-0.450.400.07-40-414.414.5-0.1315.113.31.77
Jason Terry3941-0.16-0.340.170.04-73-1014.014.7-0.7013.414.5-1.09
Donatas Motiejunas4445-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.31-1-3215.213.81.4114.114.00.05
Patrick Beverley7270-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.481-5614.713.90.7813.714.8-1.08
James Harden8485-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.501-5614.713.11.6114.014.1-0.08
Dwight Howard8280-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.33-51-614.414.9-0.5413.815.1-1.37
Trevor Ariza8685-0.520.02-0.54-0.43-3-1-214.215.7-1.5013.716.2-2.53

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steven Adams56570.56-0.060.630.65-37-1014.213.90.2714.015.1-1.09
Kevin Durant77770.54-0.040.580.337-31013.814.9-1.0714.614.10.49
Randy Foye48470.480.020.460.1312-82015.113.12.0714.914.10.78
Russell Westbrook78790.410.090.310.55-59-1414.113.90.1914.315.1-0.81
Dion Waiters54550.260.240.030.009-51413.514.7-1.2013.715.4-1.76
Serge Ibaka61600.160.34-0.190.27-48-1214.513.31.1714.614.30.32
Anthony Morrow20190.120.38-0.250.1204-413.414.2-0.8216.913.93.07
Cameron Payne23220.090.41-0.31-0.179-51413.914.1-0.1915.114.30.81
Enes Kanter44430.070.43-0.35-0.199-51414.214.00.2215.313.81.47
Andre Roberson4446-0.200.70-0.900.21-1418-3213.414.6-1.1913.415.3-1.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.44,0.57,0.42,0.63,0.47,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.45,0.77,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 100, OKC 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.96,192.1%
POR 117, LAC 1220.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.69,0.92,191.6%
IND 82, NYK 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.91,0.98,191.2%