inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 89 Excitement5.6 [720] MVPMarcin Gortat (WAS): +17.8%
Washington Wizards 99 Comeback8.6 [439] LVPCarmelo Anthony (NYK): -10.5%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Calderon0.020,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.01862%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Seraphin0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01460%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Kristaps Porzingis0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.020.00-0.02-0.031462%0.145-0.124100%0.02
Robin Lopez0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01656%0.0100.00475%0.00
Jerian Grant-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Sasha Vujacic-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0110%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Langston Galloway-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.010.031043%-0.0400.0010%0.00
Derrick Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01736%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.06-0.021045%0.003-0.092100%0.01
Carmelo Anthony-0.110,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.05-0.012143%0.023-0.134100%0.02

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.090.07-0.021071%0.201-0.021100%0.00
John Wall0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.120.02-0.001760%0.161-0.026100%0.04
Markieff Morris0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.03-0.021557%0.122-0.0500%0.00
Otto Porter0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.040.040.040.050.051550%0.0400.0000%0.00
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01270%0.041-0.03650%-0.03
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.001125%0.072-0.052100%0.01
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01633%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jared Dudley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.001238%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Alan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.010.00617%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.42.330.615.425.11.825.2120.9
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +29.1%
NYK -0.3%
NYK -2.9%
WAS +24.7%
NYK -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKWASNBANYKWASNBA
this game16.413.914.993.7104.2105.1
season15.613.8103.5104.1
opponent15.114.8104.6106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK15.716.617.415.916.4
WAS13.112.212.618.413.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick Williams3938-0.04-0.460.43-0.154-141814.417.8-3.3513.414.2-0.81
Langston Galloway4040-0.05-0.450.39-0.267-172414.517.8-3.3415.812.53.23
Kevin Seraphin3130-0.06-0.440.39-0.112-121414.617.3-2.6713.314.2-0.84
Jerian Grant76-0.06-0.440.37-0.01-2-8617.916.31.5613.214.0-0.79
Sasha Vujacic2626-0.13-0.370.250.02-5-5018.515.62.8211.814.7-2.89
Arron Afflalo6970-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.22-5-5015.618.5-2.8214.512.22.26
Jose Calderon4849-0.38-0.12-0.270.06-155-2017.815.02.8312.515.4-2.97
Kristaps Porzingis7574-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.07-111-1217.014.12.9314.213.01.22
Robin Lopez6465-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.09-122-1417.314.62.6714.213.30.84
Carmelo Anthony7677-0.570.07-0.64-0.19-133-1616.814.82.0314.113.30.77

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Markieff Morris71700.74-0.240.980.1520-103014.113.40.6517.314.03.33
Marcin Gortat65650.72-0.220.950.0523-133613.614.6-0.9716.915.31.57
John Wall77760.65-0.150.790.0919-92813.913.80.1616.814.81.96
Otto Porter58590.52-0.020.550.0516-62214.213.50.6416.516.20.30
Garrett Temple30310.280.220.060.0582613.814.0-0.2015.217.0-1.76
Bradley Beal65640.220.28-0.060.1628-614.013.80.2017.015.21.76
Alan Anderson3736-0.020.52-0.550.15-616-2213.514.2-0.6416.216.5-0.30
Ramon Sessions1819-0.150.65-0.790.12-919-2813.813.9-0.1614.816.8-1.96
Nene3030-0.220.72-0.950.16-1323-3614.613.60.9715.316.9-1.57
Jared Dudley2425-0.240.74-0.980.05-1020-3013.414.1-0.6514.017.3-3.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.96,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 103, CHA 1070.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,193.6%
BKN 97, MIL 1030.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.97,1,0.99,193.2%
CHI 85, BOS 920.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.92,193.0%