NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	107		Excitement	3.6 [1108]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +10.8%
Golden State Warriors	125		Comeback	1.4 [1281]		LVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): -9.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Orlando Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	13	54%	0.02	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.02
Luke Babbitt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.07	14	65%	0.01	4	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Alonzo Gee	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.06	6	62%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	16	38%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	20	43%	-0.04	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.21	0.03	0.12	16	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
James Michael McAdoo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	85%	0.07	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	71%	0.05	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	57%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	11	75%	0.08	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.05	10	61%	0.03	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0.04	11	54%	-0.04	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.7	33.5	15.4	28.4	2.5	27.4	132.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +56.2%

NOP -0.5%

GSW +4.0%

NOP -10.1%

GSW +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	GSW	NBA	NOP	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	13.9	14.9	108.1	127.6	105.1
season	14.3	13.7		104.3	112.3
opponent	15.1	15.0		102.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.8	15.2	16.1	15.1	15.3
GSW	14.0	12.5	14.5	14.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	12	10	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.05	6	-24	30	16.1	15.2	0.91	15.0	13.8	1.17
Orlando Johnson	46	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-11	4	15.1	15.5	-0.41	14.0	13.9	0.18
Ryan Anderson	62	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-15	12	14.9	16.0	-1.10	14.3	13.4	0.96
Toney Douglas	77	76	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-15	12	15.2	15.5	-0.34	14.4	12.4	2.04
Luke Babbitt	72	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-10	2	15.0	16.1	-1.19	13.8	14.4	-0.63
Dante Cunningham	41	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-9	0	15.8	14.9	0.93	14.7	13.4	1.26
Alonzo Gee	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	-10	2	15.1	15.7	-0.60	13.7	14.6	-0.91
Jrue Holiday	59	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.26	-28	10	-38	15.7	14.6	1.15	13.2	15.1	-1.92
Anthony Davis	61	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.29	-30	12	-42	15.6	14.8	0.80	13.5	14.6	-1.08

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	65	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.25	27	-9	36	13.6	14.6	-1.04	15.3	15.3	-0.06
Stephen Curry	65	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.25	27	-9	36	13.6	14.6	-1.04	15.3	15.3	-0.06
Harrison Barnes	64	65	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.19	20	-2	22	14.1	13.7	0.42	16.1	13.6	2.49
Klay Thompson	56	54	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.15	16	2	14	13.8	14.2	-0.38	15.6	14.9	0.64
James Michael McAdoo	28	29	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	18	-18	13.2	14.3	-1.08	14.2	15.7	-1.47
Leandro Barbosa	42	45	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	16	-14	14.2	13.8	0.38	14.9	15.6	-0.64
Marreese Speights	36	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	16	-14	13.4	14.3	-0.84	15.5	15.1	0.40
Andrew Bogut	31	30	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.18	12	6	6	15.1	13.4	1.73	15.9	15.0	0.93
Shaun Livingston	32	33	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	12	-6	13.7	14.0	-0.30	15.4	15.2	0.12
Ian Clark	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	25	-32	14.4	13.8	0.52	13.8	15.6	-1.78
Anderson Varejao	15	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	22	-26	14.5	13.9	0.61	13.8	15.5	-1.75
Brandon Rush	37	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.24	-11	29	-40	14.8	13.4	1.34	15.2	15.4	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 74, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIL 95, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
ORL 56, BOS 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%