NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	113		Excitement	6.5 [532]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +25.6%
Charlotte Hornets	122		Comeback	1.1 [954]		LVP	Ryan Anderson (NOP): -8.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.17	-0.06	0.04	26	62%	0.14	2	-0.07	12	83%	0.03
Toney Douglas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.02	14	55%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	56%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.23,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05	0.20	-0.08	0.07	23	72%	0.23	4	-0.18	7	100%	0.04
Alonzo Gee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Orlando Johnson	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	16%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.22,0.25,0.26	0.26	0.22	0.11	0.08	18	67%	0.26	0	0.00	16	75%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	12	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.02	8	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.02	9	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	46%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Cody Zeller	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	4	76%	0.09	2	-0.06	9	78%	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	31.1	14.8	27.2	2.8	36.5	139.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +12.5%

CHA +7.5%

CHA +4.6%

CHA +23.7%

CHA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CHA	NBA	NOP	CHA	NBA
this game	13.7	15.0	14.9	111.9	122.0	105.1
season	14.3	15.1		104.3	105.5
opponent	14.8	15.0		103.6	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.1	13.6	13.6	14.5	13.7
CHA	15.2	12.6	16.4	16.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	32	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-12	15	13.5	13.8	-0.27	14.5	15.2	-0.73
Alonzo Gee	50	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-7	5	13.6	13.8	-0.24	16.3	13.7	2.60
Toney Douglas	77	77	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.32	6	-15	21	13.8	13.2	0.62	15.2	14.2	1.05
Omer Asik	14	14	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	3	-15	13.8	13.7	0.12	12.3	15.4	-3.13
Dante Cunningham	65	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-4	-1	13.9	13.3	0.63	14.8	15.3	-0.43
Anthony Davis	81	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-2	-5	13.6	13.8	-0.21	15.3	13.7	1.60
Jrue Holiday	79	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-5	1	13.7	13.7	-0.06	15.0	14.9	0.16
Ryan Anderson	61	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-5	1	13.7	13.7	-0.03	14.5	15.6	-1.07
Orlando Johnson	46	44	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.08	-20	11	-31	13.5	13.9	-0.42	14.5	15.4	-0.86

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	74	75	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	-2	13	15.3	14.2	1.12	13.4	14.5	-1.15
Marvin Williams	63	63	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	0	9	15.0	14.9	0.18	13.6	13.8	-0.21
Nicolas Batum	88	87	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	5	-1	14.9	15.7	-0.87	13.8	12.8	1.04
Cody Zeller	64	63	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	4	1	14.3	16.2	-1.94	14.1	13.0	1.05
Courtney Lee	61	61	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.19	2	7	-5	14.5	15.7	-1.25	14.1	13.1	0.97
Al Jefferson	36	38	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	5	-1	16.2	14.3	1.94	13.0	14.1	-1.05
Jeremy Lin	46	47	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	6	-3	15.3	14.7	0.64	13.4	13.9	-0.44
Jeremy Lamb	31	33	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	2	5	15.0	15.0	0.08	13.6	13.7	-0.11
Frank Kaminsky	37	38	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	9	-9	14.9	15.0	-0.18	13.8	13.6	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.55,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.77,0.77,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.55,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 108, POR 114	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.93,1,1	93.4%
PHI 91, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.98,1	93.1%
DAL 92, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.74,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.95,0.72,0.84,0.85,1	92.8%