NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	106		Excitement	8.8 [166]		MVP	JaMychal Green (MEM): +17.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Comeback	2.3 [184]		LVP	Matthew Dellavedova (CLE): -17.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaMychal Green	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.14	-0.00	13	53%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11	0.04	0.15	0.07	9	62%	0.18	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.04
Tony Allen	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	-0.02	0.01	17	70%	0.17	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	17	46%	0.23	3	-0.19	3	67%	0.03
Ryan Hollins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	15	55%	0.10	3	-0.16	1	0%	-0.02
PJ Hairston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Jarell Martin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.11,0,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	16	69%	0.19	7	-0.21	7	86%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.08	-0.00	6	73%	0.12	2	-0.15	3	33%	-0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.11	0.01	19	65%	0.25	4	-0.29	5	80%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.04	4	-0.10	10	100%	0.08
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	11	25%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	34.3	14.7	28.5	2.5	39.3	146.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +25.3%

MEM +7.9%

CLE -18.5%

MEM +35.3%

CLE -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CLE	NBA	MEM	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	12.8	14.9	105.0	98.1	105.1
season	15.7	15.8		103.4	110.3
opponent	14.9	14.8		103.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.8	14.1	15.6	17.5	15.2
CLE	15.0	12.1	12.7	11.5	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	58	60	1.06	-0.56	1.63	0.71	12	-9	21	14.4	16.3	-1.91	12.2	13.6	-1.44
JaMychal Green	79	81	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.28	15	-12	27	14.5	17.7	-3.22	13.1	11.7	1.47
PJ Hairston	75	77	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.42	7	-4	11	15.2	15.3	-0.13	12.8	12.8	-0.03
Mario Chalmers	87	90	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	-2	7	14.8	17.7	-2.91	12.8	12.7	0.16
Tony Allen	70	73	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	-5	13	14.8	16.0	-1.19	13.1	12.1	1.06
Lance Stephenson	56	61	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.37	-13	16	-29	16.5	13.6	2.98	11.8	14.2	-2.34
Jarell Martin	38	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	10	-17	16.5	14.4	2.03	12.3	13.1	-0.78
Ryan Hollins	42	44	-0.62	1.12	-1.74	-0.27	-12	15	-27	16.2	14.5	1.76	14.2	11.8	2.50

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	13	12	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-7	11	12.2	12.9	-0.74	13.2	15.5	-2.22
Kevin Love	69	68	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.13	-4	1	-5	13.2	11.9	1.30	15.2	15.1	0.13
Richard Jefferson	15	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-5	7	13.1	12.7	0.39	16.6	15.0	1.63
Tristan Thompson	57	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.38	11	-14	25	12.4	13.2	-0.79	16.5	13.7	2.82
Iman Shumpert	50	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-5	7	11.8	13.7	-1.99	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Timofey Mozgov	21	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	8	-19	16.7	11.8	4.83	13.1	15.8	-2.69
Kyrie Irving	82	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-4	5	12.6	13.4	-0.76	15.1	15.7	-0.61
J.R. Smith	75	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	3	-9	12.5	13.5	-1.03	15.5	14.6	0.82
LeBron James	82	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.33	-9	6	-15	13.0	12.1	0.91	15.2	15.1	0.16
Matthew Dellavedova	61	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.48	-5	2	-7	12.5	13.2	-0.66	14.7	15.9	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.27,0.19,0.36,0.55,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.27,0	92.8%
NOH 88, NYK 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.28,0	92.7%
PHI 102, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.16,0	92.1%