NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	95		Excitement	9.2 [120]		MVP	Patrick Beverley (HOU): +28.4%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	12.1 [145]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (HOU): -19.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norris Cole	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.12	0.11	0.04	0.02	16	64%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	9	73%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Ryan Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,0.01,0.01	-0.14	0.13	-0.01	20	33%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.07
Alexis Ajinca	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	13	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	11	64%	0.08	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.08	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.02
Toney Douglas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.28	0.28	0.01	0.27	-0.01	13	54%	0.34	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.06	-0.03	9	45%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
James Harden	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,0.01,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.08	0.02	24	59%	0.40	8	-0.33	18	89%	0.07
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	6	73%	0.15	4	-0.11	10	60%	-0.04
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	7	39%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.10
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.03	0.01	10	30%	-0.07	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.3	30.0	16.4	29.8	2.0	36.4	143.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +26.0%

HOU +1.1%

HOU +16.8%

HOU +1.6%

HOU +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	HOU	NBA	NOP	HOU	NBA
this game	13.9	12.2	14.9	86.4	90.1	105.1
season	14.3	14.0		104.3	105.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.0	13.5	14.9	14.4	13.9
HOU	11.9	13.1	12.8	11.0	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	51	49	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.12	11	-16	27	13.8	14.0	-0.18	13.6	11.0	2.50
Alexis Ajinca	15	16	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.10	2	-7	9	13.4	14.0	-0.60	12.7	12.1	0.70
Toney Douglas	17	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-3	1	13.4	14.0	-0.60	12.8	12.0	0.75
Alonzo Gee	26	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-3	1	13.9	13.9	0.01	13.0	11.9	1.15
Dante Cunningham	67	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	4	-13	13.8	14.1	-0.36	12.4	11.8	0.63
Ryan Anderson	57	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-4	3	14.2	13.6	0.57	11.5	12.9	-1.46
Jrue Holiday	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-1	-3	13.3	15.0	-1.65	12.5	11.5	0.97
Norris Cole	82	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-3	1	14.2	13.0	1.23	12.1	12.3	-0.23
Eric Gordon	74	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-2	-1	14.2	13.3	0.95	11.4	13.8	-2.41
Anthony Davis	92	91	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.35	-15	10	-25	14.0	13.4	0.57	11.6	14.7	-3.17

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	88	88	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.43	9	-4	13	11.7	13.9	-2.17	14.2	12.9	1.26
Corey Brewer	48	47	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.55	3	2	1	11.7	12.5	-0.82	13.4	14.3	-0.93
Patrick Beverley	82	80	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.52	2	3	-1	12.4	11.5	0.91	13.8	14.2	-0.39
James Harden	93	91	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-5	15	12.0	13.2	-1.21	13.9	14.1	-0.16
Dwight Howard	76	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.56	-7	12	-19	12.3	11.9	0.39	13.5	14.9	-1.38
Clint Capela	35	35	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.21	12	-7	19	11.9	12.3	-0.39	14.9	13.5	1.38
Josh Smith	44	45	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	-2	9	13.2	11.5	1.70	12.9	14.6	-1.70
Jason Terry	40	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.16	5	0	5	12.0	12.2	-0.24	13.9	13.9	-0.06
Donatas Motiejunas	49	48	-0.57	1.07	-1.65	-0.10	-16	21	-37	12.6	11.8	0.79	15.2	12.9	2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.59,0.54,0.33,0.14,0.22,0.16,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 85, SEA 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.22,0.31,0.16,0.11,0.42,1	91.0%
UTA 98, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.45,0.27,1	90.4%
MIN 90, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.27,1	90.0%