NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	2.3 [1276]		MVP	Tobias Harris (DET): +11.5%
Detroit Pistons	111		Comeback	1.1 [1262]		LVP	Ish Smith (PHI): -9.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jahlil Okafor	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.04	10	65%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.13	0.00	0.12	11	76%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Robert Covington	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	9	40%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	5	83%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kendall Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	60%	-0.01	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.12	0.00	-0.10	7	19%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	23%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	9	20%	-0.09	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.00	0.03	12	79%	0.12	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.05	9	84%	0.10	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	55%	0.02	2	-0.01	8	50%	-0.01
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	61%	0.03	5	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Darrun Hilliard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	10	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	14	41%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.0	33.1	16.4	25.3	1.5	29.3	134.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +28.1%

DET +1.0%

DET +16.5%

DET +2.9%

DET +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.6	14.6	14.9	92.9	112.1	105.1
season	14.8	15.0		97.7	104.9
opponent	15.1	14.2		105.0	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.9	16.2	14.0	12.4	14.6
DET	14.8	13.1	14.8	15.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	20	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-28	36	12.9	15.1	-2.15	14.9	14.6	0.29
Richaun Holmes	36	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.30	10	-30	40	12.7	15.7	-2.94	16.0	13.8	2.15
Kendall Marshall	47	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-19	18	13.3	15.8	-2.57	14.9	14.4	0.51
Isaiah Canaan	37	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-9	-2	15.0	14.4	0.58	13.9	15.1	-1.14
Nik Stauskas	53	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-12	4	14.9	14.2	0.68	14.3	15.0	-0.66
Nerlens Noel	46	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.25	-17	-3	-14	14.9	14.3	0.57	12.4	16.3	-3.86
Robert Covington	42	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.20	-16	-4	-12	14.8	14.4	0.39	15.1	14.3	0.86
Hollis Thompson	65	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-16	12	13.8	16.2	-2.32	14.9	14.0	0.97
Jerami Grant	47	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-4	-12	14.5	14.7	-0.20	15.9	13.5	2.38
Ish Smith	51	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	-1	-18	15.8	13.3	2.57	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Jahlil Okafor	46	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.35	-26	6	-32	16.9	12.6	4.25	14.2	15.0	-0.75

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.34	26	-6	32	15.2	13.6	1.54	14.9	13.9	1.00
Tobias Harris	61	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	2	16	14.4	14.9	-0.48	14.7	14.4	0.36
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	59	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.27	21	-1	22	15.0	14.1	0.88	15.2	13.8	1.40
Reggie Jackson	51	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	3	14	14.8	14.4	0.41	15.6	13.5	2.18
Andre Drummond	54	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	4	12	14.6	14.7	-0.16	14.9	14.2	0.68
Aron Baynes	40	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	9	2	14.8	14.5	0.29	14.6	14.6	-0.02
Reggie Bullock	56	54	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	19	-18	14.7	14.6	0.08	14.1	15.2	-1.12
Steve Blake	48	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	17	-14	14.4	14.8	-0.41	13.5	15.6	-2.18
Darrun Hilliard	40	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	21	-22	14.1	15.0	-0.88	13.8	15.2	-1.40
Joel Anthony	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	25	-30	13.1	14.8	-1.70	13.3	14.8	-1.46
Justin Harper	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	27	-34	13.5	14.8	-1.32	14.1	14.7	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 79, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
CLE 77, DET 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
VAN 82, MIN 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%