NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	122		Excitement	6.0 [620]		MVP	Jae Crowder (BOS): +18.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	124		Comeback	1.3 [471]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): -12.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.20	0.03	0.04	15	77%	0.20	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Avery Bradley	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	17	65%	0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Mickey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Smart	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	0.02	15	49%	-0.05	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	0.07	20	45%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.07	0.03	10	77%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.01	-0.04	9	59%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	7	84%	0.14	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	22	61%	0.14	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	60%	0.07	4	-0.06	11	82%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	11	50%	0.04	4	-0.05	12	58%	-0.03
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	32.2	12.8	26.0	2.4	44.0	145.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +35.8%

MIN +2.3%

MIN +11.1%

BOS -5.2%

MIN +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIN	NBA	BOS	MIN	NBA
this game	12.2	15.4	14.9	116.2	119.2	105.1
season	13.9	14.8		104.5	104.8
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.6	15.1	11.5	9.2	12.2
MIN	15.2	16.2	14.8	15.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	49	48	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.42	20	-22	42	11.5	12.7	-1.17	15.8	15.1	0.68
Jordan Mickey	3	3	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-5	8	20.0	11.9	8.08	12.0	15.5	-3.52
Tyler Zeller	31	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-5	8	12.4	12.1	0.33	16.0	15.2	0.80
Marcus Smart	70	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.48	11	-13	24	11.4	13.6	-2.17	14.2	17.6	-3.41
Amir Johnson	28	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	7	-16	14.6	11.3	3.35	17.2	14.7	2.50
Evan Turner	61	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	1	-4	11.5	13.1	-1.62	14.8	16.2	-1.35
Avery Bradley	69	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.35	-4	2	-6	12.5	11.5	0.95	16.7	12.7	4.04
Jae Crowder	82	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	2	-6	11.7	13.9	-2.25	14.9	17.3	-2.47
Jared Sullinger	63	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	15	-32	13.0	10.9	2.08	15.3	15.6	-0.25
Isaiah Thomas	69	70	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.29	-10	8	-18	12.0	12.5	-0.49	15.4	15.5	-0.16

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	70	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-9	20	15.4	15.5	-0.16	12.0	12.5	-0.49
Gorgui Dieng	78	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-10	22	16.1	13.4	2.72	12.7	10.8	1.93
Zach LaVine	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	-2	6	15.0	16.3	-1.34	12.1	12.3	-0.25
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	81	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.36	1	1	0	15.1	16.6	-1.56	12.0	12.6	-0.56
Andrew Wiggins	80	80	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	3	-4	15.1	16.4	-1.24	11.5	14.2	-2.69
Adreian Payne	24	23	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	-7	16	16.1	15.2	0.86	14.5	11.5	3.03
Shabazz Muhammad	45	47	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.41	-11	13	-24	15.6	15.3	0.27	11.2	12.9	-1.66
Kevin Martin	29	30	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	3	-4	15.6	15.4	0.23	13.0	11.8	1.23
Tayshaun Prince	10	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	7	-12	15.6	15.4	0.20	11.2	12.3	-1.02
Tyus Jones	34	36	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.18	-9	11	-20	15.5	15.4	0.16	12.5	12.0	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.64,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.88,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 79, WAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
UTA 83, NOK 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.2%
POR 87, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%