NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	9.9 [74]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +39.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	115		Comeback	6.5 [246]		LVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): -15.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.36,0.36	0.07	0.27	-0.01	16	56%	0.36	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17	0.04	0.13	0.01	13	58%	0.28	2	-0.11	10	90%	0.04
Joe Ingles	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	125%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	16	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Shelvin Mack	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	11	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Trey Burke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	8	35%	-0.10	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.09

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.39	0.39	0.07	0.31	-0.01	21	59%	0.46	3	-0.06	9	67%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.33	0.33	0.16	0.18	0.02	21	65%	0.37	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.14	0.00	9	63%	0.24	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.10	-0.02	8	41%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	4	79%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.05
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	6	29%	0.03	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	5	20%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	29.7	15.4	31.1	1.7	42.3	145.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +0.5%

POR +18.7%

POR +39.2%

UTA -4.3%

UTA -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	14.9	115.6	119.8	105.1
season	16.3	15.0		104.6	107.1
opponent	14.6	15.0		106.7	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.1	16.6	14.6	15.4	15.1
POR	17.2	16.1	12.6	14.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Johnson	35	38	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.04	9	-13	22	15.8	14.8	1.05	15.1	14.7	0.40
Trey Lyles	9	9	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-5	6	17.1	14.9	2.18	15.2	14.8	0.39
Joe Ingles	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-4	4	16.1	15.0	1.18	12.4	15.3	-2.85
Shelvin Mack	50	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.46	14	-18	32	14.4	15.9	-1.49	15.0	14.7	0.28
Trevor Booker	42	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-3	2	15.6	14.8	0.86	13.7	15.8	-2.03
Trey Burke	25	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-1	-2	16.4	14.7	1.76	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Derrick Favors	67	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.37	7	-11	18	14.7	16.2	-1.49	15.8	12.7	3.07
Raul Neto	21	20	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	9	-22	15.3	15.1	0.19	14.9	14.9	0.04
Gordon Hayward	78	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.34	-7	3	-10	14.9	16.2	-1.34	14.7	15.6	-0.93
Rodney Hood	67	65	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.36	-12	8	-20	14.6	16.4	-1.83	15.3	14.0	1.28
Rudy Gobert	72	72	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.30	-15	11	-26	15.3	14.7	0.63	14.8	15.0	-0.24

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	57	59	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.39	12	-8	20	15.4	14.0	1.41	15.1	15.2	-0.09
CJ McCollum	75	76	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.30	15	-11	26	14.6	16.0	-1.39	15.1	15.2	-0.08
Al-Farouq Aminu	57	58	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.32	13	-9	22	15.2	14.3	0.89	14.7	15.8	-1.17
Damian Lillard	73	73	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	-2	8	15.6	12.4	3.20	15.0	15.7	-0.68
Maurice Harkless	51	52	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.34	-2	6	-8	13.6	16.3	-2.64	16.1	14.0	2.01
Noah Vonleh	30	31	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.14	14	-10	24	16.5	14.1	2.43	14.7	15.3	-0.63
Ed Davis	40	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.12	-8	12	-20	13.7	15.7	-1.95	15.2	15.1	0.09
Allen Crabbe	41	40	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	11	-18	14.0	15.5	-1.51	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Meyers Leonard	14	12	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.10	-12	16	-28	16.7	14.5	2.17	13.3	15.4	-2.06
Gerald Henderson	42	42	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.04	-11	15	-26	14.4	15.2	-0.78	16.0	14.5	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.37,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.3,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 82, NJN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.77,0.74,1	90.4%
CLE 91, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.6,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.72,1	90.3%
TOR 91, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.41,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.57,0.71,1	90.3%