NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	3.4 [1152]		MVP	Robin Lopez (NYK): +10.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	1.0 [632]		LVP	Gorgui Dieng (MIN): -8.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	14	81%	0.16	5	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Lance Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	10	55%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	23	57%	0.05	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Arron Afflalo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	10	55%	0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	57%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.00	0.05	11	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	23	47%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	14	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.07	20	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	21%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	27.0	14.6	21.6	2.5	26.2	120.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +30.3%

NYK +6.1%

NYK +15.5%

MIN -8.5%

NYK +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	16.4	13.9	14.9	108.4	100.0	105.1
season	15.6	14.8		103.5	104.8
opponent	15.0	14.8		108.4	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	15.9	15.5	18.4	16.4
MIN	15.5	13.5	14.5	12.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	81	80	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-7	22	16.4	16.3	0.16	13.9	13.7	0.19
Robin Lopez	72	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-3	14	16.5	16.1	0.38	13.7	14.3	-0.60
Jose Calderon	69	67	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	0	8	16.6	16.0	0.63	14.1	13.5	0.56
Lance Thomas	52	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	5	-2	16.1	16.8	-0.68	13.0	15.0	-1.94
Arron Afflalo	78	79	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	7	-6	16.5	15.9	0.58	13.9	13.9	-0.05
Kristaps Porzingis	21	23	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.12	10	-2	12	15.7	16.6	-0.91	16.3	13.1	3.24
Langston Galloway	45	46	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	9	-10	16.6	16.3	0.34	13.4	14.3	-0.89
Sasha Vujacic	16	17	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	3	2	14.1	16.9	-2.76	13.2	14.1	-0.87
Kyle O'Quinn	19	17	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	12	-16	16.6	16.4	0.26	14.2	13.8	0.41
Derrick Williams	22	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.23	-8	16	-24	17.6	16.1	1.58	14.6	13.7	0.87

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damjan Rudez	7	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-2	-4	14.4	13.9	0.58	14.7	16.6	-1.82
Kevin Martin	26	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-3	-2	14.1	13.8	0.25	15.7	16.7	-1.01
Shabazz Muhammad	65	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-13	18	12.9	16.1	-3.17	16.7	15.9	0.72
Zach LaVine	65	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-13	18	12.9	16.1	-3.17	16.7	15.9	0.72
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-11	14	13.7	15.1	-1.47	16.7	14.7	2.00
Andrew Wiggins	71	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-5	2	13.7	14.4	-0.64	16.7	15.7	0.96
Ricky Rubio	68	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-10	12	14.1	13.4	0.63	17.0	14.8	2.25
Tayshaun Prince	43	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	10	-28	15.6	12.5	3.08	15.5	17.2	-1.65
Gorgui Dieng	50	48	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.17	-23	15	-38	15.2	12.4	2.84	15.6	17.3	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.17,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
PHI 120, BKN 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
NOP 111, ORL 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%