NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	119		Excitement	5.7 [683]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +13.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	113		Comeback	1.2 [1241]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -11.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.06	0.03	16	64%	0.18	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Rasual Butler	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	11	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jonathon Simmons	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	87%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	14	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.04	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	52%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	71%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	58%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.02	0.04	12	72%	0.15	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	11	77%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	100%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	0.04	10	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	57%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.09	-0.02	25	45%	-0.06	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	24.5	16.4	24.6	2.5	37.6	132.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +42.4%

LAL -9.6%

SAS +5.3%

SAS +12.3%

LAL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAL	NBA	SAS	LAL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	14.9	125.3	121.5	105.1
season	15.7	15.2		109.0	100.1
opponent	14.5	14.7		109.9	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.7	17.8	13.8	14.5	15.2
LAL	14.1	14.1	18.3	15.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	65	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.27	5	1	4	15.4	14.8	0.55	15.7	15.0	0.63
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	-3	12	15.4	14.7	0.61	15.9	14.3	1.55
Patty Mills	52	52	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	-2	10	15.0	15.4	-0.44	14.7	16.5	-1.83
Tim Duncan	56	54	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	0	6	15.0	15.4	-0.44	15.6	15.3	0.27
Rasual Butler	39	38	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	5	-4	14.9	15.4	-0.48	15.5	15.4	0.06
Danny Green	40	37	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	-1	8	14.3	15.8	-1.56	16.2	15.0	1.25
Kyle Anderson	58	57	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	5	-4	15.3	15.1	0.20	15.1	16.0	-0.92
Boris Diaw	35	36	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	4	-2	16.2	14.6	1.57	16.2	15.0	1.24
David West	25	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	5	-4	15.0	15.3	-0.30	15.0	15.6	-0.57
Jonathon Simmons	35	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	12	-18	15.7	14.9	0.76	15.1	15.7	-0.60
Ray McCallum	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	10	-14	12.0	15.2	-3.25	6.0	15.7	-9.67
Boban Marjanovic	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	10	-14	12.0	15.2	-3.25	6.0	15.7	-9.67

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	32	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-5	4	15.5	15.4	0.11	15.4	15.0	0.38
Roy Hibbert	43	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-3	0	15.5	15.4	0.05	15.6	14.9	0.69
Nick Young	36	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.14	-3	-3	0	15.1	15.7	-0.62	15.2	15.2	0.06
Kobe Bryant	57	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-3	0	15.7	15.1	0.62	15.2	15.2	-0.06
D'Angelo Russell	48	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-3	0	16.3	14.6	1.76	15.9	14.4	1.53
Lou Williams	70	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-4	2	15.0	16.7	-1.70	15.5	14.3	1.22
Brandon Bass	50	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-3	0	15.4	15.5	-0.05	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Julius Randle	61	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	15.4	15.5	-0.11	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Jordan Clarkson	68	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	1	-8	15.3	15.9	-0.63	14.4	17.6	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 97, LAC 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.39,0.34,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.1%
SAC 123, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0	95.1%
UTA 93, SEA 87	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.05,0	94.9%