NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	3.6 [1109]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +17.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	120		Comeback	1.0 [1311]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -9.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.25	-0.01	0.15	15	76%	0.09	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	54%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	11	62%	0.10	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tarik Black	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.11	-0.01	0.11	15	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	39%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	8	11%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	0.06	16	47%	-0.04	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.20	0.02	0.04	24	67%	0.19	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.00	0.03	6	100%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	22	59%	0.12	1	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Jared Cunningham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.4	28.2	15.8	29.0	2.8	30.1	132.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +41.2%

LAL -13.6%

CLE +6.9%

CLE +14.0%

CLE +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	14.9	115.6	125.0	105.1
season	15.2	15.8		100.1	110.3
opponent	14.9	14.5		103.7	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.4	15.1	14.8	13.8	14.5
CLE	13.8	16.9	15.2	16.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarik Black	34	35	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.42	17	-26	43	14.2	14.7	-0.55	16.6	14.8	1.83
Metta World Peace	28	28	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.27	10	-19	29	14.2	14.7	-0.50	17.4	14.7	2.67
D'Angelo Russell	54	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.36	11	-20	31	14.8	14.2	0.52	16.6	14.0	2.57
Brandon Bass	62	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.43	8	-17	25	13.4	16.6	-3.23	16.5	13.6	2.96
Roy Hibbert	34	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.19	-17	8	-25	16.6	13.4	3.23	13.6	16.5	-2.96
Jordan Clarkson	73	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	2	-13	14.4	14.9	-0.50	14.8	17.5	-2.64
Kobe Bryant	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.03	-19	10	-29	14.7	14.2	0.50	14.7	17.4	-2.67
Lou Williams	72	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.03	-19	10	-29	14.2	15.6	-1.40	15.6	15.0	0.63
Julius Randle	55	54	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.18	-25	16	-41	15.1	13.7	1.44	14.2	17.0	-2.81

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.00	18	-9	27	15.7	14.8	0.96	14.2	15.4	-1.27
J.R. Smith	65	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-5	19	14.9	16.7	-1.79	14.6	14.4	0.14
LeBron James	75	75	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	-7	23	15.3	15.9	-0.56	13.8	17.0	-3.16
Kevin Love	39	38	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.09	16	-7	23	14.5	16.1	-1.57	16.5	13.2	3.26
Kyrie Irving	72	72	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	2	5	14.7	17.8	-3.15	15.5	11.5	3.99
Iman Shumpert	38	36	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	13	-17	16.6	14.7	1.88	13.2	15.3	-2.14
Anderson Varejao	38	41	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.22	-5	14	-19	15.4	15.5	-0.17	13.4	15.4	-1.95
Richard Jefferson	29	28	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	14	-19	16.4	15.1	1.35	16.4	13.8	2.58
Mo Williams	17	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	8	-7	18.5	14.8	3.65	12.9	14.9	-1.99
Jared Cunningham	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	24.0	15.4	8.62	6.5	14.7	-8.20
Timofey Mozgov	37	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.31	-11	20	-31	15.3	15.6	-0.23	14.9	14.3	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 82, TOR 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
VAN 86, NYK 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
MEM 93, SEA 120	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%