NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	93		Excitement	2.9 [1203]		MVP	Hakim Warrick (MEM): +11.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	120		Comeback	1.0 [1238]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -16.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	13	74%	0.15	3	-0.04	9	67%	-0.01
Tarence Kinsey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	14	61%	0.03	3	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.04	11	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexander Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Junior Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	10	41%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	-0.00	-0.09	9	22%	-0.04	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	13	34%	-0.09	5	-0.07	3	67%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	-0.00	16	65%	0.10	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	0.00	0.07	14	79%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	-0.00	0.07	13	81%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	73%	0.10	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mouhamed Sene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.03	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.0	30.2	14.7	25.1	1.8	27.2	126.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +45.4%

SEA +0.0%

MEM -5.3%

SEA +10.2%

MEM -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SEA	NBA	MEM	SEA	NBA
this game	16.4	14.6	15.4	100.0	129.0	104.5
season	15.1	15.4		105.1	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.1		108.3	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.8	17.3	18.8	14.6	16.4
SEA	14.0	14.0	13.0	17.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-31	35	11.5	16.5	-4.98	29.0	14.4	14.57
Alexander Johnson	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.19	-7	-20	13	14.6	17.0	-2.35	16.7	13.9	2.85
Dahntay Jones	42	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	-21	15	16.6	16.2	0.40	15.7	13.7	2.00
Chucky Atkins	9	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-21	15	15.9	16.4	-0.54	13.7	14.7	-1.02
Hakim Warrick	57	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-24	21	15.0	18.6	-3.56	15.2	13.7	1.43
Stromile Swift	44	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.22	-17	-10	-7	17.2	15.6	1.62	14.4	14.8	-0.46
Tarence Kinsey	76	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.17	-18	-9	-9	15.3	21.1	-5.73	14.6	14.6	0.00
Junior Harrington	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	-11	-5	16.9	14.9	2.00	14.7	14.4	0.30
Pau Gasol	60	60	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.33	-31	4	-35	17.9	13.6	4.29	13.1	17.2	-4.06
Rudy Gay	82	81	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.44	-35	8	-43	16.9	12.7	4.14	14.1	18.2	-4.10

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	65	65	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.43	34	-7	41	13.1	18.1	-5.08	17.0	15.0	1.92
Rashard Lewis	68	68	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.42	33	-6	39	13.4	17.9	-4.50	17.1	14.5	2.59
Luke Ridnour	56	56	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.44	33	-6	39	13.7	16.0	-2.34	17.1	15.2	1.93
Damien Wilkins	61	61	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	17	-7	14.9	14.0	0.95	16.0	17.2	-1.19
Chris Wilcox	27	29	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	15	-3	13.4	15.1	-1.67	16.3	16.4	-0.05
Johan Petro	51	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.18	12	15	-3	15.8	13.2	2.60	16.6	16.1	0.44
Mickael Gelabale	46	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	27	-27	15.7	13.5	2.14	16.0	16.7	-0.77
Earl Watson	43	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.19	9	18	-9	14.6	14.6	-0.06	16.7	16.1	0.54
Mouhamed Sene	23	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	29	-31	17.3	13.7	3.66	14.6	16.9	-2.34
Mike Wilks	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	29	-31	18.8	13.8	4.94	14.4	16.7	-2.38
Andre Brown	11	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	31	-35	16.0	14.4	1.60	12.8	16.9	-4.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 77, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
BOS 77, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
UTA 104, POR 125	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%