NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	2.8 [1240]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +13.4%
Charlotte Hornets	108		Comeback	1.0 [1223]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -9.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.16	0.00	0.08	13	76%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Doug McDermott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	0.00	0.11	11	61%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Cameron Bairstow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	7	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	12	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	8	19%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.00	19	59%	0.15	2	-0.02	13	77%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	14	59%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.01	13	73%	0.10	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	65%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	7	64%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	42%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	7	14%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	3	62%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	28.5	16.3	25.4	2.5	26.5	123.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +34.0%

CHA +10.2%

CHA +6.6%

CHI -1.9%

CHA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.1	14.9	95.8	112.5	105.1
season	14.8	15.1		103.7	105.5
opponent	14.8	14.9		103.6	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.5	14.2	16.5	15.1	15.1
CHA	14.3	14.6	13.5	18.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cristiano Felicio	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	11.7	15.2	-3.51	18.2	15.0	3.29
Cameron Bairstow	35	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-20	23	15.0	15.1	-0.10	16.3	14.4	1.94
Tony Snell	40	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.30	7	-24	31	15.0	15.1	-0.02	14.5	15.5	-0.93
Mike Dunleavy	31	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-14	11	16.6	14.3	2.25	15.6	14.8	0.77
Aaron Brooks	41	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-14	11	13.7	16.1	-2.34	13.9	16.0	-2.11
Bobby Portis	43	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-10	3	14.2	15.7	-1.52	14.0	16.0	-2.02
Taj Gibson	43	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-8	-1	15.8	14.5	1.33	14.5	15.6	-1.05
Kirk Hinrich	48	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.16	-15	-2	-13	15.9	14.2	1.73	15.8	14.3	1.52
Doug McDermott	64	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	-3	-11	14.3	16.6	-2.25	14.8	15.6	-0.77
Pau Gasol	66	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.25	-22	5	-27	15.3	14.5	0.84	15.4	14.6	0.80
E'Twaun Moore	61	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.26	-23	6	-29	15.3	14.6	0.65	15.7	14.1	1.59

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	72	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.23	22	-5	27	15.3	14.5	0.85	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Nicolas Batum	86	84	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	6	5	15.4	12.7	2.67	15.6	11.2	4.39
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	58	57	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.16	16	1	15	15.9	13.9	2.03	15.6	14.2	1.42
Marvin Williams	57	56	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.22	18	-1	19	15.8	14.1	1.63	15.9	13.9	2.02
Spencer Hawes	58	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	13	-9	15.1	15.2	-0.11	13.5	17.3	-3.81
Cody Zeller	37	39	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.16	13	4	9	15.0	15.1	-0.11	17.3	13.5	3.81
Frank Kaminsky	40	39	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.22	-1	18	-19	14.3	15.7	-1.40	13.9	15.9	-2.02
Jeremy Lin	38	38	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	16	-15	13.9	15.9	-2.03	14.2	15.6	-1.42
Jeremy Lamb	34	35	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	16	-15	13.9	15.7	-1.78	13.9	15.7	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 81, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
IND 90, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
CHI 87, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%