inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 101 Excitement6.6 [504] MVPArron Afflalo (NYK): +17.9%
New York Knicks 96 Comeback1.8 [427] LVPCarmelo Anthony (NYK): -20.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Emmanuel Mudiay0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15-0.050.16-0.031837%0.1500.00425%-0.03
Danilo Gallinari0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.140.060.08-0.001353%0.1400.001090%0.03
Will Barton0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.110.100.030.021263%0.1100.00683%-0.02
Kenneth Faried0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.020.011070%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Jokic0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.02959%0.051-0.014100%0.02
Mike Miller0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Randy Foye-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.00250%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.021150%0.113-0.142100%0.02
Gary Harris-0.120,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.040.01922%-0.1200.0000%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.150.050.02883%0.1800.002100%0.01
Derrick Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.03-0.02443%0.081-0.06667%-0.02
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.09-0.030.04692%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Kristaps Porzingis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.020.02-0.030.00-0.042346%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Lou Amundson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00-0.00150%0.0000.0020%-0.03
Jerian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Langston Galloway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00650%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.010.00731%-0.0300.00250%-0.02
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.030.00437%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2-0.20-0.05-0.130.011946%-0.133-0.07887%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.71.727.315.523.92.036.5131.6
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +28.4%
DEN +2.9%
DEN +12.3%
DEN +3.7%
DEN +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENNYKNBADENNYKNBA
this game15.614.714.9106.3101.1105.1
season14.915.6104.3103.5
opponent14.814.9106.1107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.914.318.715.815.6
NYK15.415.114.014.214.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joffrey Lauvergne57560.71-0.210.910.3512-71915.615.50.1314.714.8-0.14
Will Barton58580.70-0.200.910.3811-61714.916.7-1.8414.215.6-1.36
Danilo Gallinari73730.420.080.330.3041315.615.50.1614.515.5-0.99
Gary Harris77770.400.100.310.3423-116.411.94.5515.312.42.90
Emmanuel Mudiay63630.260.240.020.43-611-1715.914.91.0614.415.4-0.96
Jusuf Nurkic15140.150.35-0.20-0.067-2915.715.50.1814.414.8-0.36
Randy Foye33330.140.36-0.23-0.108-31115.015.9-0.9314.914.60.26
Mike Miller1011-0.000.50-0.510.03-16-713.915.8-1.8814.014.8-0.83
Nikola Jokic3738-0.100.60-0.700.02-49-1315.415.7-0.2415.214.40.79
Kenneth Faried5252-0.170.67-0.830.07-813-2115.315.9-0.5615.114.30.75

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sasha Vujacic17170.04-0.540.59-0.105-101514.914.70.1818.415.03.38
Kyle O'Quinn88-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-4317.914.43.4315.415.6-0.22
Jerian Grant2222-0.08-0.420.33-0.06-1-4315.514.50.9915.515.6-0.16
Derrick Williams2625-0.09-0.410.32-0.06-1-4315.914.31.5815.615.60.08
Lou Amundson55-0.10-0.400.290.04-50-59.415.0-5.6311.615.8-4.20
Kevin Seraphin1920-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-1-315.114.70.3914.116.0-1.81
Robin Lopez5958-0.15-0.350.21-0.09-2-3115.214.01.1915.615.6-0.03
Jose Calderon5960-0.16-0.340.18-0.284-91314.215.6-1.3216.014.81.28
Kristaps Porzingis6869-0.18-0.320.14-0.397-121914.515.3-0.8316.014.61.38
Langston Galloway4141-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.19-72-914.514.9-0.4015.115.9-0.80
Arron Afflalo7978-0.530.03-0.55-0.29-83-1114.714.9-0.1716.013.82.14
Carmelo Anthony7272-0.730.23-0.96-0.38-127-1914.415.7-1.3214.718.2-3.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.45,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.25,0.1,0.06,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 111, NYK 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.34,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.52,0.4,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.33,0.31,0.08,0.02,0.02,091.8%
MIL 114, MEM 1050.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.11,0.01,0,0,090.9%
WAS 120, BOS 1140.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.25,0.16,0.01,0,090.9%