NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	5.0 [833]		MVP	Nik Stauskas (PHI): +14.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	113		Comeback	1.2 [885]		LVP	PJ Tucker (PHX): -10.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Archie Goodwin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.01	0.07	15	74%	0.10	4	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Mirza Teletovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	47%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Sonny Weems	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.04	8	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Lorenzo Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	15	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
PJ Tucker	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	8	32%	-0.04	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	7	71%	0.15	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	15	63%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	9	62%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	7	78%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	56%	0.05	3	-0.04	6	50%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.04
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	0.06	17	48%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.3	29.4	15.4	31.4	2.6	32.3	138.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.6%

PHI +0.5%

PHX -1.8%

PHI +14.0%

PHI +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	13.8	14.8	14.9	102.0	111.9	105.1
season	14.4	14.8		100.9	97.7
opponent	14.2	14.4		108.0	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	15.1	11.5	14.4	13.8
PHI	13.3	16.2	14.2	15.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzo Brown	7	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-5	0	11.9	13.9	-2.05	16.8	14.6	2.21
Mirza Teletovic	35	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-11	12	12.3	14.6	-2.30	15.6	14.3	1.25
Sonny Weems	48	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.18	1	-11	12	13.4	14.1	-0.70	14.7	14.8	-0.06
TJ Warren	49	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-13	16	12.2	15.2	-3.07	15.3	14.2	1.16
Alex Len	71	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-5	0	13.9	13.5	0.33	15.1	14.0	1.12
Tyson Chandler	41	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	2	-14	15.0	12.9	2.08	13.3	15.7	-2.36
Markieff Morris	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-2	-6	13.6	13.9	-0.25	16.6	13.1	3.53
Archie Goodwin	60	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	14.6	12.5	2.15	14.4	15.4	-1.03
Devin Booker	73	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-4	-2	15.0	10.5	4.51	14.4	15.7	-1.21
PJ Tucker	72	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	1	-12	13.3	14.9	-1.64	13.7	17.3	-3.62

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	79	78	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	2	6	15.2	13.2	2.01	13.8	13.5	0.37
Ish Smith	66	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	2	6	13.8	16.5	-2.61	14.3	12.7	1.59
Hollis Thompson	70	70	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	6	-2	15.1	14.0	1.13	13.0	15.4	-2.39
Robert Covington	67	66	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	0	10	13.9	16.4	-2.55	14.6	12.2	2.35
Jerami Grant	61	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	4	2	14.9	14.5	0.34	13.7	13.8	-0.05
Nerlens Noel	61	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	1	8	14.1	15.7	-1.61	14.9	12.0	2.83
Richaun Holmes	45	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	7	-4	14.6	14.9	-0.36	12.5	14.8	-2.28
TJ McConnell	36	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	10	-10	16.0	14.1	1.94	12.6	14.4	-1.79
Isaiah Canaan	20	20	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	8	-6	17.4	14.1	3.30	13.1	13.9	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 85, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
IND 113, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1	95.3%
BKN 87, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	95.2%