NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	129		Excitement	15.2 [2]		MVP	Troy Daniels (CHA): +112.3%
Sacramento Kings	128		Comeback	4.8 [70]		LVP	Darren Collison (SAC): -45.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Daniels	1.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.63,1.12	0.26	0.87	0.01	15	87%	1.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Spencer Hawes	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.05	0.00	10	90%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	17	58%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.24,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.13	0.20	-0.01	25	37%	0.28	2	-0.19	15	87%	-0.04
Aaron Harrison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	7	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jeremy Lin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	19	50%	0.04	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Frank Kaminsky	-0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	10	18%	-0.35	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.27,0.71,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.85,1.16,1.16,1.08,1.08,1.08,1.08	1.08	0.29	0.78	-0.01	30	74%	1.37	7	-0.30	16	81%	0.26
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.12	0.03	12	62%	0.23	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.11
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15,0.07	0.07	-0.05	0.11	-0.01	8	50%	0.19	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.10	-0.01	10	59%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	7	50%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.46	-0.46	0.00	-0.45	0.01	12	54%	-0.28	2	-0.18	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	28.4	15.4	24.7	2.4	41.2	2.5	22.2	2.4	21.0	189.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +27.2%

SAC -28.8%

CHA +4.7%

CHA +40.6%

CHA +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	SAC	NBA	CHA	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	13.8	14.9	111.2	111.3	105.1
season	15.1	13.9		105.5	104.8
opponent	14.6	14.8		107.1	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	15.9	14.8	17.6	17.0	16.5	16.3
SAC	10.4	14.5	12.4	14.3	19.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Daniels	58	58	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.76	-2	3	-5	17.4	15.3	2.14	14.8	12.8	2.02
Frank Kaminsky	58	54	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.64	-1	2	-3	16.5	16.2	0.34	14.9	12.8	2.17
Jeremy Lin	101	99	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.42	5	-4	9	16.0	18.7	-2.76	14.4	9.7	4.69
Kemba Walker	92	90	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.60	-6	7	-13	16.3	16.3	-0.01	13.1	16.3	-3.18
Tyler Hansbrough	35	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	0	1	18.3	15.5	2.80	14.3	13.5	0.82
Aaron Harrison	11	11	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	-6	13	15.1	16.5	-1.37	16.4	13.5	2.84
Brian Roberts	24	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.13	7	-6	13	16.3	16.3	0.01	16.3	13.1	3.18
PJ Hairston	70	66	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	5	-9	15.9	16.9	-1.01	12.7	15.3	-2.64
Marvin Williams	67	70	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	5	-9	15.9	16.9	-0.92	12.5	15.9	-3.41
Spencer Hawes	64	64	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.21	2	-1	3	15.7	17.0	-1.29	12.7	15.1	-2.35

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	90	93	0.56	-1.06	1.61	0.12	15	-16	31	13.1	16.2	-3.08	16.7	14.7	2.04
Rudy Gay	74	75	0.31	-0.81	1.13	-0.01	11	-12	23	12.6	15.9	-3.32	16.3	16.4	-0.17
Ben McLemore	35	35	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.15	8	-9	17	12.2	14.5	-2.33	16.1	16.4	-0.35
Darren Collison	76	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-2	3	14.1	13.1	1.04	16.5	15.9	0.65
Omri Casspi	61	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-6	11	14.0	13.6	0.41	16.5	16.1	0.47
Kosta Koufos	20	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	10	-21	14.0	13.7	0.31	16.1	16.4	-0.27
Rajon Rondo	76	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	0	-1	13.7	14.1	-0.39	15.2	18.7	-3.58
Marco Belinelli	34	35	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	8	-17	14.9	13.3	1.51	16.7	16.2	0.51
James Anderson	19	18	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.34	-11	10	-21	13.3	13.9	-0.63	14.8	16.6	-1.83
Willie Cauley-Stein	75	76	-0.96	0.46	-1.41	-0.57	-13	12	-25	14.5	12.5	1.90	16.1	16.8	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.17,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.14,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.24,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 122, MIA 121	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.62,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.17,0.24,0.07,0.1,0.26,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.74,0	86.6%
LAL 97, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.52,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.24,0.27,0.11,0.07,0.33,0.08,1	86.2%
HOU 119, BKN 111	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.04,0.02,0,0	85.9%