NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	119		Excitement	10.3 [58]		MVP	Jae Crowder (BOS): +35.0%
Washington Wizards	117		Comeback	4.0 [324]		LVP	Kelly Oubre (WAS): -7.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.35	0.10	0.25	-0.00	18	56%	0.35	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0.23	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.22,0.23	0.09	0.16	0.02	14	73%	0.41	7	-0.18	16	94%	0.16
Amir Johnson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.12	0.00	3	70%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jared Sullinger	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	9	57%	0.09	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.04
Avery Bradley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	35%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.14	0.02	8	52%	0.16	0	0.00	7	100%	0.12
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	14	64%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.08	0.00	25	57%	0.31	6	-0.21	13	85%	0.05
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.00	6	64%	0.15	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	58%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	12	58%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
DeJuan Blair	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	86%	0.04
Kelly Oubre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	11	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.7	30.1	15.7	26.5	1.8	47.2	151.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +36.0%

WAS -2.5%

BOS +22.3%

WAS -2.2%

WAS -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	14.4	13.6	14.9	116.7	112.5	105.1
season	13.9	13.8		104.5	104.1
opponent	15.1	15.0		104.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.8	14.5	15.6	14.7	14.4
WAS	13.4	13.2	14.4	13.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	60	63	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.28	12	-10	22	13.9	15.0	-1.02	14.1	12.9	1.26
Jae Crowder	71	72	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.51	0	2	-2	14.6	13.7	0.88	13.7	13.4	0.35
Avery Bradley	72	72	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.49	0	2	-2	15.5	11.7	3.76	13.6	13.6	0.03
Isaiah Thomas	72	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	4	-6	13.8	15.7	-1.96	13.6	13.6	0.09
Amir Johnson	54	54	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.37	-2	4	-6	14.5	14.2	0.23	13.7	13.5	0.15
Kelly Olynyk	43	44	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	-5	12	14.4	14.3	0.03	13.5	13.7	-0.24
Jonas Jerebko	30	30	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	-3	8	14.6	14.2	0.35	13.6	13.6	-0.02
Tyler Zeller	12	11	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	-1	4	11.4	14.7	-3.33	12.5	13.7	-1.20
Jared Sullinger	42	44	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	5	-8	15.7	13.4	2.31	14.3	13.1	1.18
Marcus Smart	54	55	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.07	-10	12	-22	13.1	15.8	-2.68	12.6	14.8	-2.19

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Neal	57	55	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.21	2	-4	6	13.8	13.4	0.39	13.6	15.2	-1.59
Nene	29	28	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-5	8	11.0	14.6	-3.58	12.2	15.2	-2.95
DeJuan Blair	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-2	2	6.0	13.7	-7.69	0.0	14.4	-14.35
Kelly Oubre	51	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-2	2	13.6	13.6	-0.01	15.1	13.5	1.59
Garrett Temple	75	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-4	6	12.9	15.4	-2.45	13.7	15.9	-2.16
Jared Dudley	87	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	1	-4	14.1	11.4	2.70	14.8	11.9	2.94
Marcin Gortat	74	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	3	-8	14.7	10.9	3.86	15.2	12.2	2.95
Ramon Sessions	53	50	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	2	-6	13.6	13.7	-0.10	13.5	15.1	-1.59
John Wall	93	92	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.44	-5	3	-8	13.7	13.1	0.59	14.8	9.8	5.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.62,0.46,0.23,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 84, LAC 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.77,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.37,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.38,0.64,0.32,0.27,0	91.3%
NYK 88, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.34,0.08,0	91.2%
MIA 98, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.73,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.15,0	91.1%