NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	84		Excitement	9.0 [118]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +16.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	83		Comeback	3.8 [313]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -48.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15	0.01	0.14	-0.00	5	62%	0.22	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Marc Gasol	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	11	63%	0.20	3	-0.13	5	100%	0.04
Greivis Vasquez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
O.J. Mayo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Sam Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.16	-0.02	-0.14	0.01	20	45%	-0.11	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	14	25%	-0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22	-0.12	-0.09	0.01	12	46%	-0.05	6	-0.17	2	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.08,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.12	0.01	15	62%	0.27	4	-0.11	10	90%	0.07
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	81%	0.18	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	9	56%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	0.01	18	50%	-0.03	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.03
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.18	-0.11	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27,-0.48	-0.48	-0.10	-0.37	0.01	8	37%	-0.29	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.5	29.6	18.0	31.0	2.8	39.4	146.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +4.8%

MEM +4.6%

LAC -11.3%

MEM +50.0%

MEM +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	15.7	16.5	15.5	93.3	93.3	105.7
season	15.5	15.4		106.1	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.2	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.1	15.6	14.9	15.1	15.7
LAC	17.2	15.0	18.7	15.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	75	74	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.36	11	-10	21	16.0	13.8	2.24	16.5	16.7	-0.18
Tony Allen	31	31	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.50	5	-4	9	14.1	16.5	-2.35	15.7	16.9	-1.24
Mike Conley	63	63	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	-8	17	15.7	15.5	0.26	17.4	14.4	2.96
Rudy Gay	83	81	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.44	6	-5	11	15.5	17.1	-1.60	16.5	16.4	0.16
Marc Gasol	72	72	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.53	-1	2	-3	15.6	15.9	-0.28	16.9	14.7	2.24
Xavier Henry	25	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	0	1	16.0	15.6	0.41	19.2	15.4	3.78
Sam Young	7	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	6	-11	17.1	15.5	1.60	16.4	16.5	-0.16
Greivis Vasquez	27	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	9	-17	15.5	15.7	-0.26	14.4	17.4	-2.96
O.J. Mayo	34	32	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.03	-5	6	-11	16.9	14.9	1.91	15.1	17.3	-2.17
Darrell Arthur	33	32	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.05	-8	9	-17	14.9	16.1	-1.15	15.6	17.0	-1.39

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	20	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	0	-1	18.7	15.9	2.88	15.2	15.8	-0.62
Ryan Gomes	58	57	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.27	9	-10	19	16.3	16.9	-0.54	16.6	14.0	2.68
Brian Cook	33	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.30	9	-10	19	14.6	17.6	-2.99	15.0	16.1	-1.11
Craig Smith	10	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	5	-11	14.7	16.7	-2.05	12.9	16.1	-3.14
Baron Davis	46	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.61	14	-15	29	15.4	17.7	-2.33	16.5	14.8	1.68
Eric Bledsoe	44	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	14	-29	17.3	15.7	1.63	14.2	17.2	-2.98
Rasual Butler	25	25	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	4	-9	15.1	17.1	-1.94	13.2	16.6	-3.42
DeAndre Jordan	62	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	5	-11	17.1	15.1	2.07	16.6	13.7	2.90
Blake Griffin	73	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.50	1	-2	3	17.1	13.9	3.14	15.6	15.8	-0.22
Eric Gordon	74	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.44	-5	4	-9	16.7	15.4	1.34	16.3	12.7	3.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.77,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.37,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.38,0.64,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 119, WAS 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.62,0.46,0.23,0.27,0	91.3%
LAL 96, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	90.7%
NJN 78, GSW 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.08,0	90.6%