NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	107		Excitement	8.8 [170]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +55.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	109		Comeback	1.9 [611]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): -12.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.40	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.4	0.15	0.25	0.00	17	69%	0.42	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Frank Kaminsky	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.15	0.16	-0.00	9	82%	0.33	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.07
Nicolas Batum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.22,0.1,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	22	56%	0.11	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Troy Daniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
PJ Hairston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	58%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	10	35%	-0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.55	0.55	0.09	0.46	0.00	14	63%	0.58	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.05
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.27	0.15	-0.00	19	80%	0.42	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	0.00	5	67%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09	0.09	-0.03	0.12	-0.00	14	46%	0.18	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.01	10	60%	0.08	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	12	42%	-0.02	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.4	24.6	15.5	25.8	1.8	36.3	126.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +36.4%

NOP +10.5%

NOP +8.9%

CHA -11.1%

NOP +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NOP	NBA	CHA	NOP	NBA
this game	15.3	15.7	14.9	113.8	118.5	105.1
season	15.1	14.3		105.5	104.3
opponent	15.0	14.8		107.9	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.2	16.3	13.8	18.5	15.3
NOP	15.6	14.3	15.6	17.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	47	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-6	10	13.4	17.1	-3.72	15.6	15.8	-0.27
Marvin Williams	52	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.39	9	-11	20	14.5	16.2	-1.72	16.3	14.9	1.41
PJ Hairston	51	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-2	2	14.6	16.0	-1.40	16.9	14.0	2.89
Spencer Hawes	23	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	4	-10	16.5	14.9	1.58	13.7	16.3	-2.63
Jeremy Lin	57	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.35	6	-8	14	16.1	14.0	2.08	15.5	15.9	-0.38
Kemba Walker	80	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.49	3	-5	8	15.0	16.9	-1.93	16.3	11.8	4.47
Nicolas Batum	82	79	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	0	-2	15.0	17.0	-1.96	15.1	19.1	-3.95
Frank Kaminsky	47	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.21	-9	7	-16	17.5	13.1	4.40	15.8	15.6	0.16
Troy Daniels	31	29	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	13	-28	16.1	14.9	1.26	14.0	16.4	-2.41

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	54	57	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-8	18	15.2	16.3	-1.08	15.2	15.5	-0.28
Jrue Holiday	51	54	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	-4	10	14.8	16.8	-1.93	16.3	13.9	2.33
Tyreke Evans	51	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.50	-4	6	-10	16.7	14.4	2.29	15.0	15.6	-0.57
Eric Gordon	60	61	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.41	-3	5	-8	16.1	14.9	1.24	14.8	16.2	-1.43
Anthony Davis	68	68	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.44	-5	7	-12	16.2	14.3	1.83	14.7	16.7	-2.00
Norris Cole	32	33	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	-3	8	14.9	16.1	-1.24	16.2	14.8	1.43
Alonzo Gee	55	55	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	1	0	15.5	16.0	-0.53	16.7	13.3	3.38
Alexis Ajinca	13	14	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	-3	8	11.8	16.3	-4.47	16.9	15.0	1.93
Dante Cunningham	48	50	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	3	-4	16.3	15.0	1.27	14.3	16.4	-2.11
Omer Asik	28	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	6	-10	16.2	15.4	0.81	13.6	16.0	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.45,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 89, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.77,0.99,1	90.0%
MIN 96, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.78,0.6,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.59,1	89.9%
SEA 82, BOS 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.36,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.98,1	89.8%