inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 101 Excitement7.8 [298] MVPMario Chalmers (MEM): +70.6%
Memphis Grizzlies 103 Comeback18.0 [61] LVPMarcus Morris (DET): -20.8%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stanley Johnson0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.220.090.12-0.011468%0.262-0.0400%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.140.070.070.00580%0.1400.0000%0.00
Brandon Jennings0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.140.070.07-0.00583%0.161-0.022100%0.02
Ersan Ilyasova0.090,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.001361%0.0900.002100%0.01
Reggie Jackson0.060,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00780%0.102-0.041100%0.01
Joel Anthony0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01664%0.063-0.102100%0.01
Andre Drummond-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.001142%-0.022-0.05425%-0.05
Aron Baynes-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.040.00150%-0.004-0.11475%-0.01
Marcus Morris-0.210,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.21-0.09-0.12-0.001055%0.176-0.37250%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.710.710.130.600.021569%0.813-0.11683%0.11
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.330.330.230.11-0.007129%0.3300.0000%0.00
Zach Randolph0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.001057%0.071-0.02333%-0.04
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.030.001070%0.112-0.073100%0.01
Elliot Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00150%-0.001-0.032100%0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00738%-0.012-0.07786%0.02
Marc Gasol0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.05-0.012043%-0.023-0.07475%-0.03
Tony Allen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.05-0.00425%-0.032-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.11.728.315.529.42.527.1126.5
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET -11.1%
MEM +37.3%
MEM +2.2%
MEM +21.0%
MEM +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMEMNBADETMEMNBA
this game15.116.414.9109.8113.2105.1
season15.015.7104.9103.4
opponent14.815.1106.7105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.014.314.217.015.1
MEM18.514.517.115.716.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Drummond61600.90-1.402.300.3718-203815.813.72.1117.713.73.99
Reggie Jackson42430.05-0.550.59-0.105-71214.715.5-0.8118.814.24.63
Ersan Ilyasova5049-0.05-0.450.41-0.102-4614.715.6-0.8517.315.32.06
Joel Anthony32-0.09-0.410.320.03-42-66.015.4-9.4217.016.40.64
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope5857-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-31-414.316.5-2.2117.414.72.62
Marcus Morris7475-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.393-5815.612.92.6916.914.02.88
Anthony Tolliver4242-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.34-42-615.614.70.8515.317.3-2.06
Stanley Johnson5250-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.37-42-615.314.90.3714.518.7-4.16
Brandon Jennings5048-0.550.05-0.59-0.34-75-1215.514.70.8114.218.8-4.63
Aron Baynes2829-1.310.81-2.12-0.84-1614-3014.515.4-0.8213.517.7-4.19

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zach Randolph55560.99-0.491.470.729-71617.514.62.9214.915.5-0.60
Mario Chalmers78790.65-0.150.790.447-51216.317.0-0.7315.313.81.56
Tony Allen58570.54-0.040.580.424-2617.314.82.5416.413.13.31
Matt Barnes53550.330.170.170.36-13-414.818.6-3.7915.215.00.18
Courtney Lee54550.110.39-0.280.1102-217.914.23.6814.516.0-1.54
JaMychal Green1090.070.43-0.370.0120210.617.1-6.4919.614.64.93
Marc Gasol68690.060.44-0.380.38-1113-2417.513.14.4015.214.70.55
Vince Carter12110.060.44-0.380.0020213.416.8-3.4112.415.5-3.12
Elliot Williams1313-0.150.65-0.79-0.00-57-1217.016.30.7313.815.3-1.56
Jeff Green5456-0.160.66-0.81-0.253-1414.619.0-4.3814.216.4-2.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.75,0.63,0.36,0.24,0.13,0.25,0.15,0.05,0.1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 95, SEA 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.11,0.15,0.37,188.8%
PHX 89, VAN 920.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.57,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.53,0.3,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.45,0.26,188.5%
UTA 93, PHX 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.28,187.9%