NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	7.7 [308]		MVP	Derrick Williams (NYK): +19.9%
Brooklyn Nets	110		Comeback	2.3 [362]		LVP	Lance Thomas (NYK): -14.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.05	-0.01	17	69%	0.29	3	-0.10	11	82%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	12	67%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	17	32%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.07	-0.06	0.09	16	56%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	6	35%	0.02	2	-0.15	5	40%	-0.03
Lance Thomas	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	10	27%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.03	0.02	5	117%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.06	0.03	13	62%	0.13	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.05
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	-0.00	18	50%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	12	58%	0.16	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.05	0.05	10	71%	0.14	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.7	30.0	14.8	20.2	1.8	40.1	129.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +50.0%

NYK -14.0%

BKN +4.5%

BKN +10.1%

NYK -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BKN	NBA	NYK	BKN	NBA
this game	14.6	14.1	14.9	104.0	108.9	105.1
season	15.6	15.0		103.5	101.9
opponent	14.8	14.8		109.3	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.6	12.6	16.2	14.5	14.6
BKN	14.4	12.3	15.1	14.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	11	9	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.08	8	-14	22	9.5	15.2	-5.67	11.6	14.3	-2.76
Langston Galloway	50	53	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.08	7	-13	20	12.9	16.2	-3.30	13.3	14.9	-1.61
Jerian Grant	47	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-7	8	12.6	16.4	-3.84	14.4	13.8	0.59
Derrick Williams	67	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.36	8	-14	22	13.6	16.7	-3.10	13.8	14.6	-0.81
Kristaps Porzingis	81	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-3	0	14.0	17.3	-3.30	13.7	15.4	-1.66
Lance Thomas	55	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.13	-18	12	-30	16.3	12.5	3.82	14.4	13.6	0.81
Arron Afflalo	73	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	2	-10	15.1	13.2	1.92	14.2	13.6	0.61
Robin Lopez	60	60	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.30	-14	8	-22	16.4	11.9	4.44	15.0	12.6	2.42
Jose Calderon	56	57	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.41	-11	5	-16	16.6	12.0	4.62	14.1	14.0	0.08

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	82	79	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.34	23	-17	40	14.1	13.8	0.28	15.2	12.1	3.10
Brook Lopez	58	59	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.23	17	-11	28	14.2	13.8	0.40	16.2	12.2	3.98
Joe Johnson	80	77	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-6	18	14.4	13.0	1.41	15.6	11.3	4.21
Shane Larkin	55	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	8	-10	14.5	13.5	1.05	13.1	16.3	-3.26
Bojan Bogdanovic	48	49	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	8	-10	14.0	14.1	-0.13	13.5	15.6	-2.12
Wayne Ellington	57	55	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	2	2	13.5	14.7	-1.21	15.0	14.0	0.99
Donald Sloan	46	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	-2	10	13.5	14.5	-1.05	16.3	13.1	3.26
Willie Reed	13	14	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	0	6	14.7	14.0	0.72	13.4	14.8	-1.43
Sergey Karasev	19	21	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	11	-16	13.2	14.3	-1.12	11.5	15.4	-3.94
Andrea Bargnani	28	29	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	0.04	-14	20	-34	14.9	13.7	1.19	13.3	15.1	-1.85
Thomas Robinson	19	17	-0.53	1.03	-1.55	-0.03	-17	23	-40	13.1	14.3	-1.25	10.3	15.5	-5.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.33,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.4,0.55,0.71,0.77,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 84, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.39,0.39,0.63,0.85,0.96,1	92.7%
DET 97, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.84,0.92,1	91.7%
CHH 87, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.9,1,1	91.6%