NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	99		Excitement	7.3 [387]		MVP	Arron Afflalo (NYK): +19.8%
San Antonio Spurs	100		Comeback	2.4 [1165]		LVP	Jose Calderon (NYK): -56.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.2	0.02	0.17	-0.00	8	50%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18	0.08	0.12	0.03	21	61%	0.25	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	9	58%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	15	50%	0.10	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Jerian Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	13	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.56	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.56	-0.13	-0.43	0.00	9	22%	-0.47	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	12	62%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.11	-0.01	16	47%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	17	47%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	9	44%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	19	45%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	25.7	15.6	23.3	1.7	28.5	122.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +41.8%

NYK -3.6%

NYK -1.3%

SAS +5.9%

SAS +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	16.0	14.5	14.9	105.3	105.3	105.1
season	15.6	15.7		103.5	109.0
opponent	14.7	14.8		97.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.8	16.1	17.5	16.9	16.0
SAS	13.4	14.5	12.5	18.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	1	2	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-3	5	22.0	15.9	6.06	6.0	14.7	-8.67
Lance Thomas	25	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	1	-3	17.8	15.4	2.40	13.2	14.9	-1.76
Robin Lopez	69	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	1	-3	15.7	16.8	-1.09	14.7	13.9	0.79
Jose Calderon	63	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.37	5	-6	11	14.9	18.2	-3.27	15.2	13.2	2.00
Derrick Williams	18	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	7	-15	18.1	15.5	2.54	14.2	14.6	-0.36
Jerian Grant	29	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	4	-9	18.5	14.9	3.59	12.9	15.2	-2.36
Carmelo Anthony	78	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-4	7	15.6	17.8	-2.18	14.4	14.8	-0.36
Langston Galloway	41	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-6	11	17.3	15.0	2.38	15.0	14.0	1.01
Arron Afflalo	79	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-2	3	15.2	20.1	-4.84	15.0	11.3	3.75
Kristaps Porzingis	67	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	3	-7	15.5	17.3	-1.87	14.2	15.2	-0.97

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	66	67	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.43	8	-7	15	14.9	13.6	1.29	16.4	14.9	1.51
Tony Parker	64	65	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	-1	3	14.7	13.9	0.81	15.3	17.5	-2.19
David West	31	31	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	-7	15	13.7	14.9	-1.15	17.3	15.4	1.88
Manu Ginobili	45	42	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.40	-3	4	-7	13.9	15.0	-1.09	16.7	15.4	1.25
Boris Diaw	35	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	-2	5	13.7	15.0	-1.31	17.5	15.2	2.38
Kawhi Leonard	74	74	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.32	-4	5	-9	14.5	14.3	0.19	15.1	19.4	-4.38
Tim Duncan	43	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	-5	11	13.8	15.1	-1.27	15.7	16.3	-0.64
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	68	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.36	-6	7	-13	14.9	13.4	1.46	15.0	18.7	-3.72
Patty Mills	31	29	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	2	-3	13.9	14.7	-0.81	17.5	15.3	2.19
Jonathon Simmons	17	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	9	-17	17.5	13.8	3.71	16.4	15.9	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.87,0.78,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 101, MIL 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.95,1	93.9%
BKN 86, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%
PHI 98, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.78,0.84,1	93.3%