NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	6.6 [519]		MVP	Patrick Beverley (HOU): +17.4%
Houston Rockets	103		Comeback	2.5 [797]		LVP	Trey Lyles (UTA): -14.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	9	67%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.03	8	69%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	3	83%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.02	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	13	50%	0.04	5	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Trey Burke	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	38%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	11	35%	-0.04	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.06

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.08	0.00	4	112%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.06	0.02	10	64%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.00	8	75%	0.19	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	-0.01	25	55%	0.20	4	-0.11	10	70%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	83%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.09	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.8	26.7	15.7	25.5	2.3	34.4	132.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +38.1%

UTA -0.5%

HOU +7.8%

HOU +7.9%

UTA -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	17.3	13.3	14.9	100.0	109.6	105.1
season	16.3	14.0		104.6	105.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.1	20.1	17.9	16.7	17.3
HOU	13.7	15.9	10.9	13.3	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Hood	40	40	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-13	17	18.7	16.3	2.43	15.7	11.5	4.21
Rudy Gobert	29	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.35	9	-18	27	15.7	18.1	-2.37	14.6	12.8	1.80
Jeff Withey	31	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-3	-3	19.1	16.5	2.64	14.3	12.8	1.42
Raul Neto	47	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-8	7	16.9	17.8	-0.96	14.1	12.5	1.58
Joe Ingles	44	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	1	-11	17.2	17.4	-0.19	12.2	14.2	-1.93
Gordon Hayward	77	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-3	-3	16.5	21.3	-4.84	12.8	15.6	-2.79
Trevor Booker	52	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-5	1	17.2	17.5	-0.35	12.7	14.0	-1.27
Trey Burke	49	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	1	-11	17.4	17.2	0.25	12.1	14.6	-2.50
Chris Johnson	36	36	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-4	-1	17.9	17.0	0.91	12.4	13.9	-1.49
Trey Lyles	65	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.07	-16	7	-23	17.5	16.9	0.68	13.4	13.1	0.22

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Jones	59	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	0	9	14.2	11.7	2.49	18.6	15.1	3.48
Montrezl Harrell	58	57	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.31	3	6	-3	12.7	14.3	-1.57	15.7	19.8	-4.05
Patrick Beverley	50	53	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-4	17	13.0	13.6	-0.57	18.5	15.8	2.75
Marcus Thornton	37	37	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-2	13	12.1	14.1	-1.98	17.8	17.0	0.79
Corey Brewer	38	37	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	4	1	12.9	13.6	-0.61	17.3	17.3	-0.01
James Harden	67	68	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	7	-5	13.0	14.0	-0.97	16.8	18.7	-1.88
Clint Capela	57	59	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	6	-3	13.7	12.8	0.91	17.8	16.5	1.25
Trevor Ariza	63	63	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	9	-9	13.4	13.2	0.22	17.0	18.0	-0.95
Jason Terry	42	39	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.19	-1	10	-11	14.2	12.6	1.55	15.9	18.3	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 84, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	93.0%
SAS 82, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	92.9%
SAS 82, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.8%