NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	4.6 [912]		MVP	Iman Shumpert (CLE): +11.5%
Denver Nuggets	87		Comeback	1.1 [1116]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (DEN): -11.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	13	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	24	61%	0.11	5	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	46%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	45%	0.04	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.03
James Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	70%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	0.01	-0.06	16	24%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.04	20	66%	0.09	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	58%	0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Kostas Papanikolaou	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	13	43%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jameer Nelson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.5	25.8	16.0	23.5	2.6	37.4	128.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +31.9%

CLE +5.3%

DEN -4.7%

CLE +18.3%

DEN -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DEN	NBA	CLE	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	14.6	14.9	94.9	87.9	105.1
season	15.8	14.9		110.3	104.3
opponent	14.9	14.9		107.8	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.5	13.9	16.5	12.8	14.6
DEN	15.8	17.4	13.5	12.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	61	61	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-10	26	13.9	15.7	-1.77	15.5	13.3	2.23
Kevin Love	74	76	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.05	16	-10	26	13.9	16.7	-2.79	15.0	13.3	1.68
Tristan Thompson	70	72	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	2	2	14.5	14.9	-0.46	14.8	14.2	0.57
LeBron James	72	71	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	3	0	14.5	14.8	-0.23	14.8	14.3	0.44
Iman Shumpert	64	64	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.35	-1	7	-8	14.4	15.0	-0.61	14.4	15.1	-0.65
J.R. Smith	52	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	1	4	14.6	14.6	-0.01	14.1	15.3	-1.27
Jared Cunningham	4	3	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	4	-2	12.5	14.7	-2.19	20.0	14.5	5.53
Timofey Mozgov	30	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	9	-12	16.4	13.8	2.59	14.7	14.6	0.14
James Jones	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	4	-2	11.0	14.6	-3.64	0.0	14.6	-14.64
Richard Jefferson	25	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	10	-14	16.0	14.1	1.93	13.7	14.9	-1.23
Mo Williams	37	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.19	-10	16	-26	15.7	13.9	1.77	13.3	15.5	-2.23

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	46	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-10	14	14.1	15.1	-0.99	15.2	14.1	1.08
Mike Miller	16	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-5	4	14.2	14.7	-0.54	12.7	15.0	-2.21
Kenneth Faried	59	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-7	8	14.1	15.4	-1.24	14.7	14.5	0.13
Gary Harris	68	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-7	8	14.1	15.8	-1.70	14.8	14.2	0.66
Randy Foye	53	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-9	12	13.7	15.7	-2.06	15.1	14.0	1.07
Darrell Arthur	40	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	1	-8	15.4	14.1	1.24	14.5	14.7	-0.13
Jameer Nelson	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	3	-12	15.8	13.5	2.32	14.2	15.0	-0.81
Kostas Papanikolaou	44	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	2	-10	15.6	13.9	1.68	15.0	14.3	0.65
Will Barton	72	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-7	8	14.1	16.0	-1.93	14.4	15.1	-0.71
Joffrey Lauvergne	49	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	9	-24	15.8	13.5	2.34	14.2	15.0	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 86, PHI 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	95.4%
HOU 105, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
OKC 90, UTA 80	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.07,0,0,0.01,0,0	94.9%