NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	111		Excitement	6.0 [621]		MVP	Greg Monroe (MIL): +20.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	90		Comeback	3.6 [429]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (MIL): -14.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.02	0.01	12	75%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	5	70%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.03	0.03	12	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	14	61%	0.15	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Bismack Biyombo	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.08	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Patrick Patterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.05	0.03	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	15	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.08	0.01	10	76%	0.24	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.05	-0.05	16	61%	0.16	2	0.00	1	100%	0.01
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	7	69%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	7	33%	-0.05	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	12	30%	-0.07	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	13	31%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	29.9	15.8	24.1	2.4	24.5	123.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +46.4%

MIL -11.8%

MIL -0.6%

TOR +12.4%

TOR +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	14.9	123.3	100.0	105.1
season	16.1	14.8		107.2	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.8		107.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.4	15.1	15.8	19.8	16.2
MIL	16.3	16.2	17.6	13.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	70	68	0.79	-0.29	1.08	-0.12	31	-10	41	16.6	15.0	1.59	15.4	16.9	-1.45
Cory Joseph	31	32	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.20	17	4	13	15.8	16.5	-0.65	15.0	16.2	-1.14
DeMarre Carroll	34	34	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	8	5	17.1	15.7	1.37	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Terrence Ross	55	56	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.13	22	-1	23	16.2	16.3	-0.09	15.3	16.6	-1.32
Patrick Patterson	53	55	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.14	22	-1	23	16.4	15.9	0.49	15.4	16.4	-1.04
James Johnson	29	28	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.05	2	19	-17	15.4	16.6	-1.21	17.2	15.1	2.10
Lucas Nogueira	6	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	21	-21	15.7	16.3	-0.61	17.1	15.7	1.49
DeMar DeRozan	62	62	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.30	5	16	-11	16.2	16.4	-0.18	16.0	15.3	0.70
Kyle Lowry	59	58	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.32	4	17	-13	16.5	15.8	0.65	16.2	15.0	1.14
Bismack Biyombo	51	50	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.05	-11	32	-43	15.6	17.1	-1.44	16.5	14.8	1.65

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	60	61	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.23	1	-22	23	15.7	15.9	-0.15	17.1	14.4	2.68
Khris Middleton	69	69	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.23	-4	-17	13	15.7	16.1	-0.49	16.4	15.8	0.61
Jabari Parker	59	60	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.26	-8	-13	5	15.7	15.9	-0.26	17.2	14.3	2.85
Tyler Ennis	17	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-20	19	15.2	15.9	-0.73	14.1	16.7	-2.52
Michael Carter-Williams	57	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.30	-20	-1	-19	16.6	14.4	2.22	16.6	15.5	1.14
O.J. Mayo	41	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-16	11	15.4	16.1	-0.69	15.4	17.0	-1.52
Rashad Vaughn	21	20	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.08	-13	-8	-5	15.8	15.8	-0.01	15.1	16.6	-1.46
Giannis Antetokounmpo	65	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	-1	-19	15.6	16.3	-0.71	17.1	14.1	2.98
Johnny O'Bryant	31	30	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	-8	-5	15.9	15.7	0.26	14.3	17.2	-2.85
John Henson	30	29	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.11	-22	1	-23	15.9	15.7	0.15	14.4	17.1	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.49,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.1,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 89, POR 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.03,0,0,0	92.8%
DET 93, MIL 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.09,0,0	92.2%
CHH 107, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	92.1%