NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	104		Excitement	6.8 [461]		MVP	Ronnie Price (PHX): +24.2%
Phoenix Suns	96		Comeback	1.4 [312]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (PHX): -20.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	7	81%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	14	68%	0.18	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	7	65%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.02	27	56%	0.12	4	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Will Barton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	15	55%	0.13	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Kostas Papanikolaou	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Mike Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	13	15%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.10	0.00	13	77%	0.29	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
TJ Warren	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	3	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.08	0.03	18	50%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	18	50%	0.00	5	-0.17	6	67%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	0.00	11	33%	-0.08	4	-0.13	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.4	30.5	15.7	28.2	2.4	36.4	135.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +40.5%

PHX -4.4%

DEN +2.3%

DEN +9.6%

DEN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	16.1	13.0	14.9	104.0	98.0	105.1
season	14.9	14.4		104.3	100.9
opponent	14.4	14.9		107.4	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.4	17.0	16.8	16.2	16.1
PHX	12.2	12.8	13.7	13.2	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Barton	72	70	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-5	18	15.6	17.5	-1.89	13.4	11.8	1.64
Randy Foye	83	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-1	10	16.7	13.2	3.52	12.9	13.3	-0.42
Darrell Arthur	58	57	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-3	14	15.7	16.6	-0.85	13.6	12.1	1.48
Nikola Jokic	45	43	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.03	17	-9	26	15.6	16.5	-0.83	13.6	12.4	1.19
Kenneth Faried	56	55	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.22	-1	9	-10	16.9	15.0	1.88	12.9	13.1	-0.20
Kostas Papanikolaou	69	67	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	-1	10	15.9	16.6	-0.74	12.3	14.3	-1.95
Gary Harris	79	79	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	13	-18	15.8	17.2	-1.38	12.8	13.7	-0.96
Mike Miller	38	37	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.09	-13	21	-34	16.7	15.7	0.94	12.1	13.5	-1.32

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	54	56	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.21	12	-20	32	13.2	12.7	0.50	16.9	15.1	1.72
Ronnie Price	60	62	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.35	13	-21	34	13.2	12.6	0.58	16.5	15.5	1.01
Mirza Teletovic	22	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.06	-1	-7	6	12.4	13.1	-0.77	14.0	16.7	-2.63
Alex Len	19	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-2	-4	12.3	13.1	-0.80	17.1	15.8	1.25
Jon Leuer	60	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-8	8	12.8	13.2	-0.41	16.8	15.1	1.62
Archie Goodwin	16	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	1	-10	12.2	13.1	-0.85	14.6	16.4	-1.75
Eric Bledsoe	80	82	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-11	14	12.7	14.2	-1.48	16.7	13.3	3.37
Markieff Morris	23	24	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	5	-18	13.3	12.9	0.39	17.2	15.7	1.51
Brandon Knight	85	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-1	-6	13.0	12.8	0.13	15.6	18.7	-3.10
TJ Warren	50	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	5	-18	13.6	12.3	1.31	15.1	17.1	-1.96
Tyson Chandler	21	23	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.04	-19	11	-30	13.0	12.9	0.11	14.2	16.7	-2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.27,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.1,0.11,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 113, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.21,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.09,0	92.3%
MIL 90, CLE 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.06,0	92.1%
SAS 97, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.07,0,0,0,0	91.7%