NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	4.0 [1058]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +14.9%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	1.9 [547]		LVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): -9.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	16	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Bairstow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	55%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.02	0.02	18	50%	0.01	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jimmy Butler	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	11	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	29%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Nikola Mirotic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.00	-0.05	8	12%	-0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.02	-0.02	20	64%	0.18	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	14	60%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	5	100%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	9	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	7	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	27.8	15.8	23.7	2.0	30.3	122.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.9%

NYK +9.4%

NYK +1.4%

CHI -3.5%

CHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.4	16.2	14.9	95.8	115.1	105.1
season	14.8	15.6		103.7	103.5
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.1	14.5	14.1	13.9	14.4
NYK	15.5	18.2	16.6	14.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Bairstow	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	11.6	14.8	-3.14	15.5	16.4	-0.86
Tony Snell	40	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-18	20	14.8	14.1	0.76	17.0	15.7	1.27
Bobby Portis	45	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-13	10	14.0	14.8	-0.78	16.0	16.5	-0.45
Aaron Brooks	41	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-12	8	13.9	14.8	-0.94	16.4	16.1	0.28
Taj Gibson	39	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-12	8	15.7	13.5	2.17	16.8	15.9	0.91
E'Twaun Moore	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-9	2	13.9	14.6	-0.67	14.9	16.7	-1.87
Derrick Rose	42	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-14	12	14.6	14.3	0.29	16.4	16.1	0.24
Kirk Hinrich	40	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-7	-2	14.8	14.1	0.76	16.3	16.2	0.05
Jimmy Butler	66	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-3	-10	14.7	13.7	1.04	16.4	16.0	0.37
Joakim Noah	57	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.11	-15	-1	-14	14.5	14.3	0.25	16.5	15.9	0.65
Doug McDermott	20	20	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.12	-17	1	-18	14.5	14.4	0.11	15.9	16.3	-0.38
Nikola Mirotic	49	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-6	-4	13.7	15.2	-1.56	15.8	16.8	-1.07

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	63	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.23	22	-6	28	16.7	15.4	1.25	14.8	13.6	1.19
Lance Thomas	49	48	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.07	16	0	16	15.6	17.0	-1.43	14.0	14.9	-0.87
Langston Galloway	49	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	-1	18	15.5	17.1	-1.56	14.7	14.1	0.65
Carmelo Anthony	65	69	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.10	14	2	12	16.5	15.7	0.71	14.9	13.2	1.68
Kyle O'Quinn	43	42	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.21	2	14	-12	15.7	16.7	-0.98	13.3	15.3	-2.02
Kristaps Porzingis	54	57	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.14	13	3	10	16.9	15.3	1.62	15.1	13.4	1.65
Derrick Williams	34	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	14	-12	16.4	16.2	0.26	14.0	14.6	-0.62
Jose Calderon	44	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	17	-18	17.1	15.5	1.56	14.1	14.7	-0.65
Jerian Grant	30	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.26	-6	22	-28	15.4	16.7	-1.25	13.6	14.8	-1.19
Robin Lopez	34	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	15	-14	16.2	16.3	-0.02	14.7	14.2	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 73, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MEM 87, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
WAS 118, HOU 136	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%