inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 100 Excitement6.4 [550] MVPRichard Jefferson (CLE): +15.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers 104 Comeback5.4 [319] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -17.0%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.140.130.030.011468%0.191-0.05683%0.01
Enes Kanter0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.01-0.03460%0.0600.002100%0.02
Nick Collison0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.03-0.00367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Andre Roberson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01383%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Kyle Singler0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.010.07-0.050.031864%0.104-0.116100%0.03
Steven Adams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00367%0.022-0.0600%0.00
D.J. Augustin-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Dion Waiters-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.00722%-0.0800.00450%-0.02
Kevin Durant-0.170,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.170.02-0.150.041757%-0.034-0.141090%0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.080.08-0.00972%0.191-0.0300%0.00
Tristan Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.070.070.050.02-0.001064%0.121-0.0420%-0.03
Kevin Love0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.05-0.011052%0.113-0.071100%0.01
LeBron James0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.02-0.002753%0.217-0.19887%0.04
Matthew Dellavedova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.001050%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Jared Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.020.00383%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.01560%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.030.011246%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.33.430.317.428.63.437.8146.2
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +39.3%
OKC -2.5%
CLE +23.1%
OKC -10.7%
CLE +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCCLENBAOKCCLENBA
this game14.716.314.9105.3114.3105.1
season14.415.8111.5110.3
opponent14.915.1103.7104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.715.514.813.814.7
CLE17.416.515.216.316.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Singler1090.20-0.700.90-0.048-122015.514.60.9415.416.4-0.99
Andre Roberson41380.10-0.600.710.013-71013.915.3-1.3817.815.32.53
Serge Ibaka76720.09-0.590.68-0.2010-142414.515.2-0.6216.715.01.69
Steven Adams5453-0.10-0.400.31-0.183-71014.514.9-0.3416.016.8-0.82
Kevin Durant8077-0.24-0.260.02-0.18-2-2014.217.0-2.7716.515.70.74
Russell Westbrook6765-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.23-2-2014.814.40.3316.615.70.85
D.J. Augustin2928-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.21-3-1-214.714.60.0916.016.5-0.54
Nick Collison1515-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.18-84-1216.414.32.0615.616.5-0.89
Enes Kanter3635-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.15-106-1614.914.50.3616.316.4-0.04
Dion Waiters4240-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.12-117-1816.013.62.4014.917.5-2.57

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tristan Thompson66700.80-0.301.090.4113-92215.917.4-1.5214.614.7-0.08
Richard Jefferson60640.66-0.160.820.409-51415.917.3-1.3914.215.7-1.55
Jared Cunningham26260.62-0.120.740.2413-92215.416.7-1.2815.414.40.99
LeBron James75790.53-0.030.560.385-1616.316.7-0.4214.614.8-0.18
Matthew Dellavedova73770.270.230.030.2413-216.416.30.0814.913.51.44
Kevin Love62640.030.47-0.440.32-1014-2416.715.71.0114.215.5-1.31
Timofey Mozgov3839-0.070.56-0.63-0.0704-417.415.61.8115.214.30.88
Anderson Varejao88-0.090.59-0.670.00-37-1013.516.6-3.1113.914.7-0.86
J.R. Smith4748-0.250.75-1.00-0.01-812-2017.315.32.0714.914.40.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.32,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.66,0.77,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 90, GSW 1010.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,191.9%
TOR 97, CHI 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,191.8%
HOU 110, DEN 1180.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.75,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.98,0.99,191.7%