inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 97 Excitement6.0 [576] MVPTyrus Thomas (CHI): +22.9%
Chicago Bulls 107 Comeback3.3 [566] LVPJoey Graham (TOR): -16.5%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
T.J. Ford0.080,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.11-0.010.02986%0.142-0.063100%0.01
Jason Kapono0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.04-0.00650%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jamario Moon0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.02-0.00462%0.0500.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Parker0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00650%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.020.001154%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Chris Bosh-0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01844%0.012-0.042100%0.01
Kris Humphries-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.001054%0.043-0.07667%-0.03
Primoz Brezec-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.000.01935%-0.0400.00250%-0.02
Carlos Delfino-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.03-0.050.05771%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.001132%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Joey Graham-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.04-0.0476%-0.143-0.02250%-0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.140.08-0.011372%0.251-0.021080%0.02
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.050.02671%0.1200.00580%0.00
Aaron Gray0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.02-0.011354%0.102-0.039100%0.05
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.020.02967%0.123-0.096100%0.04
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.00662%0.041-0.031100%0.01
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.01-0.00862%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Cedric Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%-0.0000.0020%-0.00
Demetris Nichols0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.00250%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01617%-0.081-0.0100%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.060.01837%-0.032-0.0900%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.050.00729%-0.082-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.327.615.423.52.335.5130.7
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +17.4%
CHI +24.7%
CHI +21.5%
TOR -16.8%
CHI +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCHINBATORCHINBA
this game15.014.115.499.0107.0105.7
season15.615.0108.5102.2
opponent15.515.7105.4105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.615.214.117.115.0
CHI12.613.017.214.214.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasho Nesterovic30320.23-0.730.960.085-152014.115.4-1.3015.213.61.56
Anthony Parker33340.19-0.690.890.026-162213.815.6-1.7813.914.2-0.29
Chris Bosh33340.19-0.690.890.026-162213.815.6-1.7813.914.2-0.29
T.J. Ford37390.19-0.690.880.103-131614.315.4-1.0814.613.80.80
Jamario Moon46470.15-0.650.79-0.036-162213.816.0-2.1113.914.3-0.37
Jason Kapono2626-0.23-0.270.03-0.12-4-6215.514.80.7715.213.81.38
Primoz Brezec4746-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.25-2-8615.214.70.4714.713.61.09
Andrea Bargnani4041-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.05-100-1015.514.60.9815.013.51.47
Carlos Delfino4041-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.11-122-1415.614.51.1513.414.6-1.17
Jose Calderon6161-0.690.19-0.88-0.31-133-1615.414.31.0813.814.6-0.80
Kris Humphries5758-0.710.21-0.92-0.21-177-2415.813.82.0413.714.7-1.01
Joey Graham4041-0.720.22-0.93-0.19-188-2615.714.41.3213.014.9-2.00

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joakim Noah59590.84-0.341.180.2321-113214.513.60.9215.813.72.16
Thabo Sefolosha57580.76-0.261.020.2019-92814.214.10.0615.913.62.36
Chris Duhon49490.76-0.261.020.2318-82613.514.7-1.1816.014.02.02
Tyrus Thomas74730.390.110.280.1973414.513.01.4814.915.2-0.36
Aaron Gray72720.390.110.280.1973414.513.11.4214.815.3-0.51
Andres Nocioni26250.110.39-0.280.0237-413.014.5-1.4815.214.90.36
Demetris Nichols11110.100.40-0.300.0137-49.014.8-5.7614.315.1-0.78
Cedric Simmons210.000.50-0.500.00010-1014.014.1-0.1318.014.93.06
Ben Gordon2119-0.100.60-0.710.04-515-2015.013.91.0414.515.1-0.55
Larry Hughes3635-0.170.67-0.85-0.06-414-1813.914.2-0.2914.215.4-1.20
Kirk Hinrich5149-0.260.76-1.02-0.02-818-2614.713.51.1814.016.0-2.02
Luol Deng4239-0.320.82-1.140.00-1121-3214.014.2-0.2713.515.9-2.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 95, LAL 1040.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.78,0.96,0.97,1,1,192.4%
IND 102, POR 1060.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.34,0.4,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.98,192.3%
CHI 90, GSW 1010.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,192.1%