inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 112 Excitement3.9 [1059] MVPRandy Foye (DEN): +20.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves 100 Comeback1.3 [380] LVPKevin Martin (MIN): -8.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Randy Foye0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.190.01-0.009106%0.221-0.0200%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0.080,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.01-0.03760%0.101-0.011173%0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne0.070,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.00-0.00592%0.102-0.032100%0.01
Kenneth Faried0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.020.041259%0.0500.00862%-0.02
Kostas Papanikolaou0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.02657%0.041-0.002100%0.00
Will Barton0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.041154%0.053-0.03475%-0.00
Nikola Jokic0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.01475%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Darrell Arthur0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01650%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jameer Nelson0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.000.03771%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Gary Harris-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01540%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Mike Miller-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.150.010.07782%0.0800.008100%0.02
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.011759%0.103-0.04580%0.00
Zach LaVine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.04-0.011850%0.102-0.04475%0.00
Ricky Rubio0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.07-0.000.02672%0.081-0.02683%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.02375%0.0300.002100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Damjan Rudez00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adreian Payne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.040.000.04283%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Nemanja Bjelica0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Gorgui Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01450%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00325%-0.0400.0020%-0.03
Shabazz Muhammad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.02525%-0.042-0.04250%-0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.01812%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.61.830.015.528.22.333.7138.1
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +46.5%
MIN -3.7%
DEN +6.6%
MIN -3.2%
DEN +3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMINNBADENMINNBA
this game16.515.314.9123.1111.1105.1
season14.914.8104.3104.8
opponent15.014.9108.4107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.617.216.717.816.5
MIN13.616.216.015.715.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Barton57550.380.120.260.1484416.516.50.0015.914.51.31
Randy Foye46450.380.120.250.021201216.516.50.0116.514.22.29
Kostas Papanikolaou36350.360.140.230.011201216.716.30.3216.614.52.10
Nikola Jokic38370.350.150.210.001201216.116.8-0.6816.914.32.58
Joffrey Lauvergne32310.210.29-0.08-0.0384415.317.1-1.8415.115.5-0.43
Mike Miller18160.200.30-0.100.0266017.316.31.0016.015.20.80
Gary Harris45470.140.36-0.220.0539-617.016.01.0414.216.6-2.32
Danilo Gallinari55550.140.36-0.230.14012-1216.316.7-0.3214.516.6-2.10
Jameer Nelson45450.120.38-0.250.12012-1216.516.5-0.0114.216.5-2.29
Kenneth Faried54550.110.39-0.280.20-315-1816.816.00.8014.416.9-2.52
Darrell Arthur29290.110.39-0.280.05210-816.416.5-0.1416.015.01.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adreian Payne760.00-0.500.51-0.176-182413.915.5-1.6120.716.24.49
Nemanja Bjelica3233-0.05-0.450.40-0.143-151815.215.4-0.1516.016.7-0.69
Andre Miller1414-0.08-0.420.33-0.142-141617.415.02.4717.916.21.64
Kevin Garnett2524-0.13-0.370.230.01-5-7215.115.4-0.3716.416.5-0.08
Gorgui Dieng4243-0.22-0.280.06-0.19-1-111016.014.71.2716.316.6-0.23
Kevin Martin4042-0.23-0.270.050.15-131-1415.715.10.5916.816.20.54
Zach LaVine4847-0.24-0.260.02-0.04-7-5-215.515.20.2416.017.0-1.07
Tayshaun Prince2324-0.24-0.260.010.05-10-2-814.915.5-0.5815.017.0-1.94
Ricky Rubio5657-0.24-0.260.01-0.04-7-5-215.015.9-0.9616.915.81.08
Andrew Wiggins6365-0.25-0.250.00-0.10-5-7214.816.7-1.8916.516.40.07
Damjan Rudez1920-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.13-4-8414.915.5-0.5017.216.30.93
Shabazz Muhammad2726-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.05-7-5-216.714.81.8916.416.5-0.07
Karl-Anthony Towns5454-0.30-0.20-0.110.05-120-1215.015.9-0.8616.216.9-0.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 109, CLE 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,096.3%
NYK 104, WAS 820.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,096.1%
NYK 94, ORL 860.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%