NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	114		Excitement	4.6 [927]		MVP	Otto Porter (WAS): +19.4%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1.6 [294]		LVP	Charlie Villanueva (DAL): -11.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.02	18	74%	0.20	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	9	74%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Jared Dudley	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	11	59%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	77%	0.09	3	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
John Wall	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05	0.08	0.04	0.07	19	63%	0.11	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.04
Gary Neal	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	9	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.03	0.08	15	66%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.02	-0.04	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	56%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.15	-0.02	0.08	17	78%	0.14	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	9	54%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	40%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	11	38%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	30.2	15.4	27.2	2.0	40.2	138.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +51.5%

DAL -8.5%

DAL -9.7%

WAS +9.3%

WAS +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DAL	NBA	WAS	DAL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.9	14.9	114.0	109.9	105.1
season	13.8	15.5		104.1	105.0
opponent	14.7	15.1		106.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.2	12.9	13.3	15.5	13.8
DAL	17.6	16.4	15.4	10.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	57	58	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.16	16	-13	29	13.0	14.9	-1.90	16.2	13.1	3.10
Otto Porter	81	83	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	-5	13	13.7	14.4	-0.77	15.5	11.8	3.74
Marcin Gortat	63	65	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-12	27	13.3	14.7	-1.48	16.9	11.1	5.77
John Wall	78	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	0	3	13.7	14.3	-0.61	15.2	13.6	1.56
Jared Dudley	73	74	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.51	-10	13	-23	13.7	14.1	-0.38	14.1	16.9	-2.73
Ramon Sessions	63	62	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.39	-8	11	-19	14.6	12.5	2.13	13.5	17.0	-3.46
Kelly Oubre	20	18	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	3	-3	13.9	13.8	0.19	14.2	15.0	-0.83
DeJuan Blair	18	17	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	5	-7	14.3	13.7	0.65	12.9	15.2	-2.30
Gary Neal	47	47	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.24	-7	10	-17	14.8	12.9	1.94	12.5	16.9	-4.34

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	70	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.36	7	-10	17	14.5	15.6	-1.05	14.1	13.1	0.95
Charlie Villanueva	12	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	7	-17	19.9	14.2	5.75	11.5	14.1	-2.53
Dwight Powell	40	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	0	-3	15.4	14.5	0.91	14.0	13.6	0.38
Wesley Matthews	76	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.47	8	-11	19	14.5	15.9	-1.37	13.7	14.1	-0.43
Zaza Pachulia	50	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	8	-19	16.9	12.8	4.06	12.5	14.9	-2.49
Jose Juan Barea	60	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.39	4	-7	11	13.3	17.0	-3.70	14.7	12.3	2.35
Dirk Nowitzki	68	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-8	13	14.0	16.6	-2.56	13.8	13.7	0.13
Raymond Felton	82	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.47	6	-9	15	14.3	17.3	-3.04	13.9	13.4	0.50
Chandler Parsons	47	46	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.02	-21	18	-39	16.1	13.8	2.27	13.8	13.8	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 109, CHH 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
MEM 115, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	94.9%
NOK 87, HOU 74	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%