NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	94		Excitement	6.5 [540]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +27.3%
Utah Jazz	90		Comeback	1.0 [825]		LVP	Alec Burks (UTA): -14.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.04,0.21,0.27	0.04	0.24	0.00	17	55%	0.31	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Enes Kanter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	61%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	1	150%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	13	31%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,-0.06,-0.08	0.02	-0.11	-0.01	19	55%	0.10	3	-0.18	6	100%	0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	5	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.08
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.03	11	68%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	12	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.07,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.08	-0.01	15	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	11	47%	-0.07	2	-0.07	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	27.2	14.8	25.4	2.5	36.4	130.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +50.9%

OKC +10.3%

UTA -0.6%

UTA -12.4%

OKC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	14.9	104.4	100.0	105.1
season	14.4	16.3		111.5	104.6
opponent	15.0	15.1		102.8	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.2	14.7	16.3	19.0	16.5
UTA	16.5	14.1	16.4	15.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	55	55	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-8	20	17.3	15.2	2.04	16.5	14.0	2.54
Russell Westbrook	65	65	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-4	12	16.5	16.4	0.11	15.8	14.9	0.89
Andre Roberson	46	42	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	-2	8	15.6	17.4	-1.78	15.7	15.4	0.27
Enes Kanter	44	45	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	-1	6	15.9	17.0	-1.11	15.9	15.2	0.73
Dion Waiters	56	58	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.31	-2	6	-8	16.4	16.7	-0.32	14.8	16.9	-2.15
Kevin Durant	70	69	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.30	-2	6	-8	16.5	16.2	0.29	15.2	16.5	-1.24
Steven Adams	45	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	4	-4	17.4	15.6	1.80	15.5	15.6	-0.13
Anthony Morrow	16	18	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	2	0	16.2	16.5	-0.28	15.9	15.4	0.53
D.J. Augustin	25	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	8	-12	16.4	16.5	-0.11	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Nick Collison	28	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	9	-14	16.0	16.7	-0.69	14.9	15.8	-0.87

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Withey	22	23	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.14	7	-11	18	14.6	15.8	-1.23	16.2	16.6	-0.35
Joe Ingles	0	1	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-7	10	0.0	15.5	-15.52	1.0	16.7	-15.65
Trey Burke	54	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.36	7	-11	18	15.4	15.7	-0.29	16.8	15.9	0.96
Alec Burks	53	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-5	6	14.3	17.2	-2.92	16.2	16.8	-0.65
Raul Neto	19	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	6	-16	18.2	14.8	3.34	16.2	16.6	-0.41
Gordon Hayward	67	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-7	10	15.5	15.6	-0.12	16.4	16.6	-0.21
Trey Lyles	45	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	1	-6	16.2	14.9	1.27	16.1	16.8	-0.69
Elijah Millsap	13	14	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	3	-10	16.2	15.4	0.83	17.4	16.3	1.04
Trevor Booker	45	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-2	0	14.9	16.2	-1.27	17.2	15.8	1.38
Rodney Hood	64	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	2	-8	15.7	15.0	0.68	16.3	16.8	-0.45
Derrick Favors	68	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.24	-11	7	-18	15.8	14.6	1.23	16.6	16.2	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.31,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 91, CHH 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.08,0	93.1%
MIL 92, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.05,0.1,0	93.1%
MIA 86, ATL 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.29,0.28,0	93.1%