NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	105		Excitement	9.5 [100]		MVP	Dante Cunningham (NOP): +17.8%
New Orleans Pelicans	107		Comeback	5.9 [275]		LVP	Jared Dudley (WAS): -11.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.31,0.19,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.00	10	68%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	11	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Ryan Hollins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.01	0.06	-0.05	-0.00	8	58%	0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Kelly Oubre	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	38%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
John Wall	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.11	0.05	-0.15	0.01	18	63%	0.08	5	-0.19	5	60%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.06,0.06,-0.11	0.02	-0.13	0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	0.00	3	100%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	12	58%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.05
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	18	67%	0.20	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	67%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	15	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.05
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.08	0.00	10	86%	0.26	4	-0.25	2	100%	0.02
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.06	8	39%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	30.3	15.5	23.4	2.4	38.5	133.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +43.4%

NOP +14.3%

WAS -0.2%

WAS -7.1%

WAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NOP	NBA	WAS	NOP	NBA
this game	15.0	14.8	14.9	107.1	112.6	105.1
season	13.8	14.3		104.1	104.3
opponent	15.0	15.1		107.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.0	17.7	15.5	13.4	15.0
NOP	16.7	13.7	15.8	13.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	60	55	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.12	7	-9	16	14.5	15.9	-1.44	15.8	13.4	2.38
DeJuan Blair	16	14	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.09	3	-5	8	14.7	15.1	-0.42	13.4	15.0	-1.69
Kelly Oubre	17	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	5	-12	18.1	14.4	3.72	11.9	15.4	-3.52
Ryan Hollins	11	10	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	8	-18	18.2	14.6	3.54	11.8	15.2	-3.35
Marcin Gortat	62	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.47	7	-9	16	14.9	15.2	-0.29	15.5	13.6	1.93
Ramon Sessions	53	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-1	0	15.2	14.8	0.45	13.4	16.7	-3.36
Otto Porter	69	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-4	6	14.0	17.6	-3.57	15.9	12.3	3.58
Gary Neal	55	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	1	-4	15.2	14.9	0.28	13.4	16.7	-3.36
John Wall	72	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.61	2	-4	6	14.7	16.1	-1.46	15.5	12.7	2.80
Jared Dudley	75	74	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.46	-10	8	-18	15.6	13.2	2.38	15.3	13.2	2.07

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	66	66	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.63	9	-7	16	15.6	13.0	2.54	15.0	15.1	-0.03
Anthony Davis	78	78	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.43	13	-11	24	15.3	12.6	2.69	15.0	15.3	-0.39
Jrue Holiday	55	60	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.49	3	-1	4	12.7	17.7	-5.01	14.4	16.1	-1.65
Eric Gordon	71	74	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	1	0	15.5	12.8	2.63	14.3	17.2	-2.87
Alonzo Gee	34	34	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.57	-3	5	-8	16.7	13.8	2.92	14.2	15.5	-1.23
Ish Smith	32	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	-9	20	13.5	15.4	-1.91	16.1	14.5	1.61
Omer Asik	16	17	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	2	-2	16.4	14.5	1.97	15.5	14.9	0.59
Alexis Ajinca	44	45	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	5	-8	15.3	14.4	0.92	16.1	14.2	1.90
Dante Cunningham	37	40	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	0.03	-15	17	-32	13.7	15.5	-1.80	15.1	15.0	0.18
Norris Cole	42	44	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.27	-6	8	-14	13.6	15.8	-2.16	15.7	14.5	1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.15,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.57,0.85,1	91.0%
LAL 76, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.74,1	89.6%
BKN 114, SAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.69,0.39,0.55,0.74,1	89.6%