NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	70		Excitement	3.4 [1142]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +4.9%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	1.1 [1271]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MIL): -12.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Henson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	11	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	7	35%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	8	37%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	35%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	10	20%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.07	3	44%	0.04	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.03	11	59%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.3	29.4	14.5	26.4	2.4	22.6	123.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +24.4%

MIL -2.1%

SAS +12.7%

SAS +13.8%

SAS +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	SAS	NBA	MIL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.1	16.1	14.9	72.2	101.1	105.1
season	14.8	15.7		102.8	109.0
opponent	14.7	15.3		97.9	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.8	14.2	14.4	15.0	14.1
SAS	14.9	16.4	15.7	17.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Copeland	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-24	23	18.1	13.4	4.64	15.2	16.3	-1.10
Johnny O'Bryant	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-24	23	18.1	13.4	4.64	15.2	16.3	-1.10
Miles Plumlee	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-24	23	18.1	13.4	4.64	15.2	16.3	-1.10
Rashad Vaughn	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.14	-7	-18	11	14.6	13.8	0.75	18.2	15.1	3.13
John Henson	25	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.09	-7	-18	11	12.4	14.6	-2.19	20.0	14.8	5.14
Jabari Parker	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	-14	3	13.2	15.1	-1.92	16.9	15.1	1.82
Tyler Ennis	49	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.13	-12	-13	1	14.6	13.5	1.15	15.2	17.1	-1.87
Michael Carter-Williams	61	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	-10	-5	13.2	15.6	-2.38	17.1	14.5	2.52
O.J. Mayo	48	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.28	-22	-3	-19	13.9	14.2	-0.33	17.7	14.6	3.11
Giannis Antetokounmpo	55	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-12	-1	13.9	14.3	-0.44	14.1	18.9	-4.78
Greg Monroe	59	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.11	-17	-8	-9	13.9	14.4	-0.50	14.7	18.4	-3.62
Khris Middleton	64	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	-7	-11	13.6	15.0	-1.38	15.2	18.0	-2.79

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	54	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	11	3	14.5	18.4	-3.91	14.0	14.2	-0.18
Tony Parker	37	38	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	9	7	15.9	16.3	-0.39	13.7	14.3	-0.58
Danny Green	40	42	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	10	5	16.2	16.1	0.08	14.0	14.1	-0.19
Tim Duncan	39	41	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	14	-3	15.0	16.9	-1.97	14.2	13.9	0.27
David West	35	37	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.34	21	4	17	17.3	15.4	1.85	13.3	14.5	-1.28
LaMarcus Aldridge	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	22	-19	15.5	16.7	-1.23	13.6	14.5	-0.95
Boris Diaw	49	50	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.20	13	12	1	17.0	15.2	1.86	14.3	13.8	0.49
Patty Mills	45	46	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.11	8	17	-9	16.6	15.7	0.86	13.2	14.8	-1.61
Jonathon Simmons	37	40	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.25	12	13	-1	16.8	15.7	1.08	14.4	13.8	0.53
Kyle Anderson	34	35	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.12	7	18	-11	18.3	14.9	3.35	13.9	14.2	-0.32
Manu Ginobili	23	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	23	-21	15.7	16.3	-0.51	14.2	14.0	0.20
Rasual Butler	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	23	-21	15.6	16.3	-0.71	15.8	13.6	2.21
Matt Bonner	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	15.2	16.3	-1.10	18.1	13.4	4.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 68, NJN 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
PHX 69, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
POR 73, SEA 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%