NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	73		Excitement	3.2 [1159]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +18.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	97		Comeback	1.0 [1166]		LVP	Brandon Roy (POR): -11.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	14	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	13	39%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Roy	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	-0.01	-0.05	13	23%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.03	0.01	18	72%	0.19	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	13	59%	0.08	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	5	33%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	44%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	9	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	0.3	28.0	25.6	23.1	1.7	27.0	131.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +37.2%

SEA +1.6%

POR -0.3%

SEA +9.7%

SEA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SEA	NBA	POR	SEA	NBA
this game	16.4	14.1	15.4	76.0	104.3	104.5
season	16.7	15.4		103.1	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		108.3	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.3	15.3	18.0	14.5	16.4
SEA	15.1	14.0	14.1	13.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	32	30	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-24	24	13.4	17.9	-4.52	14.7	13.8	0.90
Dan Dickau	20	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	-22	20	13.0	17.3	-4.21	15.4	13.7	1.66
Fred Jones	35	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	-19	14	14.7	17.3	-2.63	13.8	14.2	-0.36
LaMarcus Aldridge	51	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	-18	12	16.3	16.5	-0.28	14.6	13.4	1.18
Sergio Rodriguez	27	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-19	14	16.7	16.2	0.49	12.2	14.8	-2.58
Travis Outlaw	60	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.20	-13	-11	-2	15.5	17.9	-2.41	13.3	15.1	-1.80
Jamaal Magloire	40	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-11	-2	16.5	16.3	0.15	14.3	13.9	0.44
Ime Udoka	45	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	-8	-8	17.8	15.1	2.66	14.4	13.7	0.67
Zach Randolph	51	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	-6	-12	17.7	14.8	2.90	14.4	13.6	0.80
Brandon Roy	73	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	-3	-18	17.3	13.6	3.71	13.9	14.5	-0.58
Jarrett Jack	46	45	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.10	-21	-3	-18	17.9	15.0	2.97	13.9	14.2	-0.32

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	77	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.16	23	1	22	13.7	15.9	-2.28	17.1	12.4	4.72
Chris Wilcox	49	49	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.13	22	2	20	14.5	13.6	0.92	18.1	14.6	3.59
Ray Allen	71	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.26	25	-1	26	13.7	15.3	-1.60	17.0	14.4	2.62
Luke Ridnour	63	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	9	6	15.3	11.5	3.77	17.2	14.8	2.43
Nick Collison	55	57	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	9	6	13.6	14.7	-1.16	17.5	14.7	2.77
Earl Watson	49	52	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	24	-24	14.2	13.9	0.32	16.2	16.6	-0.46
Damien Wilkins	36	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	22	-20	12.8	14.8	-1.99	14.8	17.4	-2.69
Johan Petro	33	32	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.10	5	19	-14	15.1	13.5	1.61	14.2	17.5	-3.34
Mike Wilks	10	11	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.13	5	19	-14	12.8	14.2	-1.40	11.5	17.0	-5.57
Andre Brown	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	15.1	13.9	1.18	11.8	17.0	-5.20
Mickael Gelabale	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	19	-14	12.8	14.2	-1.40	11.5	17.0	-5.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 97, UTA 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CHI 68, NJN 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
NOH 63, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%