inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 122 Excitement10.6 [47] MVPReggie Jackson (DET): +34.7%
Detroit Pistons 127 Comeback63.9 [22] LVPEric Bledsoe (PHX): -20.6%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic0.240,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.080.160.011369%0.332-0.0900%0.00
Devin Booker0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.200.050.026106%0.2300.005100%0.03
Jon Leuer0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.140.040.011371%0.1700.002100%0.01
Brandon Knight0.080,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.22,0.080.040.04-0.012149%0.191-0.113100%0.01
Ronnie Price-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
TJ Warren-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,-0.030.04-0.050.021155%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Cory Jefferson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.040.00250%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Alex Len-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01743%0.012-0.0500%0.00
PJ Tucker-0.200,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2-0.09-0.13-0.02337%-0.044-0.16250%-0.03
Eric Bledsoe-0.210,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.08-0.17-0.032049%0.026-0.223100%0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.350.350.170.200.032072%0.473-0.127100%0.10
Andre Drummond0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.270.27-0.040.30-0.011645%0.302-0.031735%-0.10
Marcus Morris0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.150.150.150.020.021080%0.212-0.061070%-0.03
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.020.002125%0.0800.0000%0.00
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.01744%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.10-0.130.021372%0.114-0.16667%-0.19
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00333%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.05-0.060.011142%-0.062-0.06250%-0.01
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.02-0.0050%-0.092-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.30.230.815.824.21.641.01.822.2165.0
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.52.217.3136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX -1.3%
DET +16.7%
DET +31.9%
PHX -1.4%
DET +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXDETNBAPHXDETNBA
this game15.014.214.9111.9116.5105.1
season14.415.0100.9104.9
opponent15.114.4105.0107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
PHX13.513.915.319.412.315.0
DET12.715.017.412.712.714.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronnie Price14120.24-0.740.99-0.1112-172913.615.2-1.6618.113.74.41
TJ Warren47460.22-0.720.95-0.2717-223913.516.1-2.6114.114.2-0.04
Devin Booker47470.16-0.660.830.054-91314.515.4-0.8614.114.2-0.12
Cory Jefferson980.11-0.610.72-0.045-101512.915.2-2.3213.114.2-1.11
Jon Leuer6366-0.04-0.460.420.11-50-516.513.03.4914.513.70.83
Alex Len2928-0.14-0.360.220.09-83-1115.115.00.1616.313.42.87
Mirza Teletovic8281-0.20-0.300.10-0.376-111715.015.00.0213.915.0-1.09
PJ Tucker8081-0.680.18-0.86-0.27-149-2315.114.90.1714.014.6-0.61
Brandon Knight7777-0.810.31-1.12-0.31-1712-2916.112.53.5614.014.6-0.66
Eric Bledsoe8587-0.870.37-1.25-0.29-2015-3514.815.7-0.8813.616.3-2.71

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ersan Ilyasova69741.06-0.561.620.2727-224914.014.4-0.4615.214.70.53
Reggie Jackson82830.99-0.491.480.2027-224913.516.2-2.7515.712.92.80
Marcus Morris89870.84-0.341.180.3417-122913.716.3-2.6314.915.5-0.66
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope93940.63-0.130.770.3111-61714.313.21.0615.512.33.19
Andre Drummond88840.290.210.090.126-1713.815.5-1.6415.513.32.26
Aron Baynes20230.130.37-0.230.22-38-1116.213.72.5614.015.3-1.24
Anthony Tolliver3031-0.380.88-1.27-0.00-1318-3115.213.81.4414.615.2-0.57
Steve Blake2726-0.490.99-1.480.16-2227-4916.213.52.7512.915.7-2.80
Stanley Johnson4743-0.571.07-1.650.16-2530-5514.014.2-0.2013.815.8-1.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.36,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.31,0.36,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.97,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 98, SAS 1030.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.31,0.45,0.77,0.92,0.54,0.75,0.9,0.94,1,190.1%
NJN 88, DET 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.74,0.84,0.78,1,189.3%
UTA 105, MIA 1070.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.33,0.34,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.55,0.33,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.64,0.94,0.91,188.2%