inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 105 Excitement12.5 [17] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +49.0%
Miami Heat 107 Comeback8.5 [168] LVPMehmet Okur (UTA): -24.4%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Boozer0.150,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.150.040.120.011660%0.181-0.031090%0.17
Carlos Arroyo0.110,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.16,-0.1,0.11-0.100.20-0.01960%0.376-0.2612100%0.39
Andrei Kirilenko0.110,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.010.09-0.01964%0.162-0.05771%0.01
Gordan Giricek0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.020.01675%0.091-0.034100%0.03
Raja Bell0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001257%0.061-0.04650%-0.03
Howard Eisley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.00250%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Curtis Borchardt-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.000.00725%-0.0600.002100%0.02
Kirk Snyder-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.00233%-0.032-0.062100%0.01
Jarron Collins-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.01436%-0.052-0.07683%0.02
Mehmet Okur-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.14-0.110.00821%-0.192-0.05367%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0.490.49-0.040.540.012260%0.915-0.422171%0.11
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.420.420.040.36-0.02961%0.451-0.0300%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.06,0.06,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.230.230.020.20-0.001255%0.2300.00743%-0.12
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.06-0.011750%0.0500.001020%-0.14
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.00175%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.001050%0.0100.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.040.01825%-0.091-0.0300%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.00310%-0.111-0.03425%-0.07
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.090.0040%-0.1500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.43.332.615.825.22.644.71.617.0166.2
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +163.2%
UTA -128.8%
MIA +5.1%
MIA +14.4%
UTA -4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAMIANBAUTAMIANBA
this game16.415.015.5102.9105.9104.0
season16.715.7102.3107.9
opponent15.515.1101.1106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
UTA17.918.117.813.813.116.4
MIA14.915.414.914.415.615.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarron Collins37380.16-0.660.830.083-5817.715.62.0415.314.80.50
Gordan Giricek44450.16-0.660.810.102-4618.015.22.8215.214.70.53
Howard Eisley22230.12-0.620.730.062-4614.217.0-2.7416.314.51.81
Kirk Snyder15150.06-0.560.62-0.002-4615.516.5-0.9814.515.0-0.57
Curtis Borchardt2425-0.01-0.490.49-0.010-2217.516.01.4216.114.61.50
Carlos Boozer8785-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.42-1-1016.415.90.5114.815.5-0.65
Andrei Kirilenko8078-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.480-2216.516.00.4815.014.90.10
Carlos Arroyo8078-0.620.12-0.73-0.50-42-617.014.22.7414.516.3-1.81
Mehmet Okur5654-0.710.21-0.92-0.54-64-1014.918.1-3.2014.415.6-1.25
Raja Bell6564-0.730.23-0.97-0.50-86-1415.418.2-2.8114.815.2-0.33

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Jones79810.84-0.341.190.4314-122614.616.3-1.7516.216.9-0.61
Dwyane Wade89910.51-0.010.520.4520215.014.40.6116.416.10.32
Damon Jones54530.410.090.320.50-35-815.114.80.3515.517.3-1.72
Shaquille O'Neal74760.300.200.090.3002-215.114.40.7416.715.51.12
Michael Doleac22200.280.220.050.193-1414.015.2-1.1613.517.1-3.57
Udonis Haslem48490.240.26-0.030.124-2614.915.0-0.0217.215.61.56
Malik Allen57590.190.31-0.120.28-35-815.314.50.7216.316.5-0.16
Shandon Anderson43430.030.47-0.43-0.053-1415.714.41.3016.316.4-0.16
Rasual Butler3938-0.300.80-1.10-0.01-1012-2214.215.4-1.2117.815.52.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.33,0.34,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.55,0.33,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.64,0.94,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 89, ATL 980.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.36,0.68,0.74,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.86,0.96,190.9%
NJN 88, DET 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.74,0.84,0.78,1,190.9%
NJN 109, PHX 1180.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.14,0.29,0.26,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.19,0.27,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.73,0.54,0.32,0.54,0.85,0.96,189.9%