NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	9.7 [82]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +51.3%
Washington Wizards	104		Comeback	2.1 [154]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -21.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.51	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0.51	0.07	0.43	-0.02	24	55%	0.55	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Julius Randle	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.07	0.00	15	47%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Lou Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	60%	0.12	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Metta World Peace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.12,-0.09	0.00	-0.08	0.01	14	53%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.12
D'Angelo Russell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	14	46%	0.03	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.51,0.41	0.41	0.11	0.30	-0.00	19	68%	0.60	5	-0.20	12	75%	0.12
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	15	60%	0.20	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	40%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	64%	0.05	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.08	0.01	5	80%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	40%	0.00	2	-0.09	8	50%	-0.07
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	8	35%	-0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	12	42%	-0.08	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	34.4	14.8	23.5	2.6	36.2	136.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +9.2%

WAS -3.9%

LAL +24.5%

LAL +22.0%

WAS -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	WAS	NBA	LAL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	11.2	14.9	100.0	95.4	105.1
season	15.2	13.8		100.1	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.5		104.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.9	16.8	13.7	14.9	15.3
WAS	10.8	10.5	14.5	9.4	11.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	73	72	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.39	8	-4	12	15.3	15.3	0.00	11.5	10.7	0.87
Jordan Clarkson	79	79	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.36	1	3	-2	15.3	15.3	0.05	11.7	10.1	1.63
Larry Nance Jr.	37	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	-9	22	14.5	15.7	-1.18	12.0	10.8	1.21
Brandon Bass	36	37	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.00	9	-5	14	15.6	15.2	0.40	11.5	11.1	0.32
Kobe Bryant	81	84	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.41	-5	9	-14	15.4	15.1	0.22	10.7	13.2	-2.53
Metta World Peace	27	25	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	-5	14	15.1	15.4	-0.22	13.2	10.7	2.53
Roy Hibbert	72	72	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.38	-5	9	-14	15.2	15.6	-0.40	11.1	11.5	-0.32
Julius Randle	71	70	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.43	-9	13	-22	15.7	14.5	1.18	10.8	12.0	-1.21
D'Angelo Russell	64	67	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	5	-6	15.3	15.3	-0.04	10.4	12.6	-2.19

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	24	26	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.11	10	-14	24	12.3	10.9	1.39	14.5	15.6	-1.07
Kelly Oubre	11	11	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.09	9	-13	22	11.2	11.3	-0.07	16.1	15.2	0.86
Garrett Temple	33	33	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.19	-6	2	-8	11.9	11.0	0.95	16.0	15.0	1.03
Ryan Hollins	26	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	2	-8	11.0	11.3	-0.38	15.5	15.3	0.24
Gary Neal	29	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	0	-4	11.8	11.0	0.74	14.8	15.5	-0.71
Ramon Sessions	28	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	7	-18	11.1	11.3	-0.19	15.3	15.3	-0.06
John Wall	81	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.49	7	-11	18	11.3	11.1	0.19	15.3	15.3	0.06
Marcin Gortat	83	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.44	2	-6	8	11.3	11.0	0.38	15.3	15.5	-0.24
Otto Porter	70	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	10.5	12.6	-2.09	16.0	14.2	1.82
Jared Dudley	73	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.27	-11	7	-18	11.3	11.1	0.16	15.0	16.0	-1.00
Bradley Beal	87	86	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.48	-7	3	-10	11.1	11.9	-0.83	15.1	16.1	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.46,0.27,0.53,0.54,0.31,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.45,0.24,0.47,0	90.6%
SAC 110, DAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.37,0.22,0.28,0	90.0%
PHI 104, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.23,0.42,0	89.5%