NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	84		Excitement	7.8 [293]		MVP	Hollis Thompson (PHI): +17.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	92		Comeback	3.6 [682]		LVP	Jahlil Okafor (PHI): -21.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.02	11	55%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	4	112%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	48%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Nik Stauskas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	15	50%	0.14	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
TJ McConnell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	5	64%	0.01	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Phil Pressey	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.2	-0.09	-0.09	0.02	9	67%	0.08	8	-0.28	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	11	35%	-0.10	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.07	-0.03	10	52%	0.16	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.08	-0.02	8	50%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	17	42%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.08	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	54%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.05
Mike Conley	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	14	56%	0.10	5	-0.17	8	87%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	2	60%	0.01	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.7	30.5	15.4	26.5	1.7	42.0	142.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +2.8%

MEM +14.1%

MEM +23.2%

MEM +8.2%

MEM +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MEM	NBA	PHI	MEM	NBA
this game	14.4	14.0	14.9	82.4	91.1	105.1
season	14.8	15.7		97.7	103.4
opponent	14.8	14.2		106.7	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.4	13.1	12.3	14.9	14.4
MEM	13.1	16.2	14.4	12.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richaun Holmes	33	32	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-12	16	13.1	15.0	-1.97	13.8	14.1	-0.29
JaKarr Sampson	22	23	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-9	10	15.6	14.0	1.59	15.8	13.4	2.33
TJ McConnell	47	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-12	16	13.0	15.6	-2.58	14.6	13.5	1.07
Nik Stauskas	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-3	-2	12.1	15.3	-3.25	14.3	13.8	0.46
Phil Pressey	33	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-5	2	15.2	14.0	1.26	12.7	14.6	-1.97
Robert Covington	77	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	14.8	13.2	1.63	14.8	11.4	3.38
Jahlil Okafor	66	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	15.1	13.2	1.89	14.1	13.8	0.28
Isaiah Canaan	73	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	15.3	12.1	3.20	13.6	15.0	-1.36
Hollis Thompson	64	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	-2	-4	13.2	16.4	-3.23	13.0	15.4	-2.39
Jerami Grant	66	64	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.28	-14	6	-20	15.3	12.8	2.45	13.8	14.3	-0.50

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	59	60	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-3	14	12.6	16.0	-3.42	14.8	13.8	0.95
Mike Conley	79	81	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-1	10	14.2	13.4	0.79	13.8	16.7	-2.92
Jeff Green	59	59	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	1	6	15.1	12.4	2.66	13.7	15.3	-1.57
Zach Randolph	66	65	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	1	6	15.2	11.7	3.47	14.1	14.9	-0.78
Marc Gasol	81	81	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	-1	10	13.3	16.7	-3.39	15.1	11.5	3.67
Tony Allen	38	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	7	-6	17.0	12.2	4.80	14.6	14.3	0.36
Mario Chalmers	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	6	-4	12.7	14.5	-1.77	16.7	13.4	3.22
Vince Carter	19	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	8	-8	11.7	14.5	-2.76	16.2	14.0	2.17
JaMychal Green	37	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	10	-12	14.4	13.8	0.59	12.7	15.5	-2.70
Courtney Lee	37	38	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.07	-4	12	-16	12.2	15.0	-2.87	13.8	14.7	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.29,0.61,0.85,0.97,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 90, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.76,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.47,0.53,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.6%
MIL 98, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.46,0.69,0.92,0.79,0.98,0.99,1	91.2%
DET 100, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.7,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.46,0.54,0.81,0.93,0.91,0.96,1	91.2%