NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	7.3 [389]		MVP	Tyler Johnson (MIA): +18.8%
Miami Heat	92		Comeback	1.8 [762]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -17.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	18	58%	0.19	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	16	67%	0.22	3	-0.15	4	75%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tibor Pleiss	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	14	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Neto	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.17	-0.04	-0.10	0.03	21	44%	-0.12	2	-0.05	12	83%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.13	-0.00	12	71%	0.27	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.10	-0.02	18	56%	0.24	3	-0.09	9	67%	-0.05
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	9	35%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	10	37%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Goran Dragic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	12	47%	-0.00	4	-0.13	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	27.8	14.0	26.2	2.4	42.1	140.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +63.6%

UTA -3.4%

MIA +0.8%

UTA -10.5%

UTA -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIA	NBA	UTA	MIA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	14.9	95.8	96.8	105.1
season	16.3	15.5		104.6	104.5
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	12.9	14.0	17.4	16.3	15.1
MIA	15.9	16.7	15.4	13.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elijah Millsap	5	4	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-3	5	18.4	14.9	3.50	13.0	15.3	-2.33
Tibor Pleiss	1	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	1	-3	12.0	15.1	-3.12	6.0	15.3	-9.33
Alec Burks	68	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.42	9	-10	19	15.7	13.6	2.03	14.9	16.1	-1.28
Gordon Hayward	75	77	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.41	8	-9	17	14.4	17.7	-3.38	15.3	15.0	0.29
Trevor Booker	30	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	5	-11	15.7	14.8	0.95	15.3	15.2	0.12
Raul Neto	33	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	3	-7	14.8	15.2	-0.36	15.5	15.1	0.42
Trey Lyles	36	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	8	-17	15.2	15.0	0.13	15.8	14.9	0.88
Derrick Favors	77	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.57	11	-12	23	14.9	15.8	-0.86	16.0	12.1	3.85
Trey Burke	51	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	0	-1	15.5	14.6	0.92	15.6	14.7	0.89
Rodney Hood	77	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.47	2	-3	5	14.6	17.0	-2.36	15.2	15.3	-0.06
Joe Ingles	22	22	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	14	-29	15.6	14.9	0.66	12.1	16.2	-4.03

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	73	73	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.38	12	-11	23	14.7	16.9	-2.18	15.2	14.6	0.64
Tyler Johnson	60	60	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	-4	9	14.6	16.3	-1.67	15.0	15.2	-0.14
Beno Udrih	34	33	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-10	21	13.5	16.2	-2.74	17.4	13.8	3.59
Josh McRoberts	35	35	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.10	14	-13	27	13.6	16.2	-2.58	17.9	13.5	4.39
Justise Winslow	57	54	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.56	-5	6	-11	14.7	16.0	-1.32	14.8	15.4	-0.58
Hassan Whiteside	56	57	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.28	-9	10	-19	16.8	13.0	3.74	14.4	16.2	-1.79
Josh Richardson	37	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	-1	3	16.8	14.2	2.63	15.6	14.7	0.98
Goran Dragic	69	69	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.35	-14	15	-29	16.1	12.9	3.23	14.0	18.0	-4.01
Luol Deng	54	54	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.18	-11	12	-23	15.5	14.9	0.62	13.7	16.9	-3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.78,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 84, SEA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.7,0.89,0.8,0.69,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.98,1,1	92.5%
MIN 90, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	92.5%
NOP 107, DAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.84,1	92.2%