NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	107		Excitement	7.5 [318]		MVP	Monta Ellis (DAL): +36.1%
Dallas Mavericks	112		Comeback	2.5 [688]		LVP	Omer Asik (NOP): -11.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.31	0.14	0.18	0.01	22	65%	0.36	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Davis	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.22	0.13	0.11	0.02	20	63%	0.24	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.09
Luke Babbitt	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	7	36%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gal Mekel	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	6	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	11	36%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	8	57%	0.03	4	-0.14	7	100%	0.04
Omer Asik	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	6	37%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.36	0.36	0.09	0.26	-0.01	19	63%	0.42	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.14	0.18	0.00	13	74%	0.35	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.05	0.02	13	74%	0.20	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	2	100%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	7	60%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	16	56%	0.12	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	3.4	30.3	15.8	26.0	2.8	36.2	136.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +51.4%

DAL +12.7%

NOP -22.5%

DAL +5.9%

DAL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DAL	NBA	NOP	DAL	NBA
this game	16.5	14.5	15.1	116.3	119.1	104.2
season	15.8	14.6		106.3	107.6
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.0	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	17.7	15.1	18.6	14.5	16.5
DAL	13.0	17.6	12.7	14.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	46	48	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-3	1	15.2	17.8	-2.67	14.9	14.1	0.72
Jrue Holiday	69	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.22	3	-8	11	15.2	20.3	-5.03	15.1	12.7	2.35
Tyreke Evans	66	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-8	11	15.7	18.5	-2.80	15.0	13.3	1.68
Gal Mekel	16	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-4	3	18.4	16.1	2.36	12.3	15.0	-2.75
Omer Asik	49	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	1	-7	15.8	17.2	-1.40	16.0	12.9	3.09
Ryan Anderson	57	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-5	5	17.1	15.5	1.53	14.4	14.6	-0.14
Austin Rivers	30	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	4	-13	19.8	14.9	4.91	13.0	15.2	-2.24
Anthony Davis	78	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	16.5	16.6	-0.10	13.6	19.8	-6.20
Dante Cunningham	49	49	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.35	-9	4	-13	17.9	14.9	3.06	14.4	14.6	-0.23

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	51	49	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-4	13	13.1	16.2	-3.15	16.4	16.6	-0.13
Richard Jefferson	23	19	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	0	5	12.4	15.2	-2.79	14.5	17.0	-2.47
Chandler Parsons	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	-2	9	15.9	11.3	4.66	15.8	18.0	-2.22
Dirk Nowitzki	58	60	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.37	-3	8	-11	13.8	15.6	-1.71	17.0	15.5	1.47
Monta Ellis	74	74	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	2	1	14.9	13.0	1.84	16.2	17.7	-1.46
Tyson Chandler	62	60	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.09	6	-1	7	15.0	13.4	1.61	16.0	17.4	-1.36
Al-Farouq Aminu	28	27	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	-2	9	12.7	15.3	-2.54	19.9	15.1	4.86
Jae Crowder	31	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	4	-3	13.6	15.0	-1.37	15.3	17.0	-1.77
Brandan Wright	35	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.27	-6	11	-17	14.7	14.4	0.39	17.7	15.8	1.93
Jose Juan Barea	43	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	9	-13	16.2	13.1	3.15	16.6	16.4	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.74,0.6,0.73,0.93,0.9,1,1,1	92.4%
UTA 91, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.78,0.91,1	92.2%
ATL 88, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.1%