NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	9.3 [113]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +42.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	4.3 [399]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -16.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	-0.00	0.00	19	65%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Marc Gasol	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	64%	0.17	4	-0.12	12	67%	-0.24
Tony Allen	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	6	43%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
JaMychal Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	42%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.05
Courtney Lee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	7	31%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Beno Udrih	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.16	-0.02	-0.13	0.01	15	47%	-0.06	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.42	0.42	0.05	0.38	0.01	8	73%	0.50	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.07
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	19	55%	0.16	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	4	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	7	57%	0.14	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.04
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.01	9	65%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	54%	0.11	4	-0.17	6	83%	0.03
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	5	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.6	34.3	16.3	27.4	2.5	53.3	159.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +27.4%

LAC +37.3%

MEM -10.8%

MEM -10.5%

LAC +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	14.9	95.8	103.3	105.1
season	15.7	14.8		103.4	106.6
opponent	14.9	14.8		102.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.3	15.8	15.9	15.3	15.6
LAC	14.7	14.8	18.5	13.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	58	55	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.14	11	-13	24	15.4	15.9	-0.56	15.6	14.7	0.90
Zach Randolph	79	73	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.56	15	-17	32	15.8	14.4	1.42	15.6	13.8	1.78
Tony Allen	52	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-8	14	16.3	14.8	1.50	15.2	15.2	-0.03
Mike Conley	70	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.45	8	-10	18	15.6	15.6	-0.04	14.9	16.1	-1.23
Beno Udrih	26	23	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	6	-14	15.6	15.6	0.04	16.1	14.9	1.23
Marc Gasol	75	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-4	6	15.5	15.9	-0.41	14.9	16.3	-1.33
JaMychal Green	33	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	9	-20	15.3	15.7	-0.47	15.6	15.0	0.50
Jeff Green	35	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.05	-15	13	-28	15.1	15.9	-0.74	14.5	15.6	-1.09
Matt Barnes	52	50	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.32	-18	16	-34	15.4	15.8	-0.39	15.0	15.5	-0.55

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	61	66	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.45	8	-6	14	14.6	16.4	-1.78	15.7	15.3	0.46
Jamal Crawford	39	41	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.11	17	-15	32	14.2	16.0	-1.76	14.9	16.1	-1.27
Paul Pierce	46	47	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-7	16	15.6	14.8	0.85	16.2	15.0	1.27
Blake Griffin	70	74	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.43	-3	5	-8	15.4	14.6	0.77	15.8	14.7	1.11
Josh Smith	28	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	-5	12	14.2	15.7	-1.49	14.9	15.9	-1.03
JJ Redick	58	62	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.46	-12	14	-26	15.3	15.0	0.33	15.3	16.0	-0.69
DeAndre Jordan	67	71	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.42	-12	14	-26	15.5	14.5	1.02	16.0	14.4	1.65
Wesley Johnson	3	4	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	0	2	13.7	15.3	-1.59	11.0	15.8	-4.78
Austin Rivers	44	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	3	-4	15.3	15.1	0.12	15.7	15.5	0.24
Luc Mbah a Moute	1	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	7	-12	1.0	15.4	-14.37	4.2	16.1	-11.83
Lance Stephenson	39	40	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	7	-12	16.5	14.3	2.19	15.5	15.6	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.62,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.68,0.58,1	90.6%
LAC 91, CHA 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.69,0.58,1	90.3%
HOU 98, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.37,0.55,0.16,1	89.8%