NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	7.4 [367]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +44.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	105		Comeback	3.1 [117]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): -11.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.45	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.45	0.21	0.23	-0.01	26	70%	0.66	7	-0.21	14	93%	0.13
Clint Capela	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	3	90%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.02	10	80%	0.27	5	-0.18	5	80%	0.02
Marcus Thornton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	15	53%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ty Lawson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	11	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.15	0.15	-0.02	0.17	0.00	7	43%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.06	0.06	0.21	-0.11	0.04	22	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.01	12	38%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	15	56%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	58%	0.05	3	-0.10	7	43%	-0.08
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	29.9	15.7	23.3	2.5	48.4	148.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +7.2%

HOU +44.0%

HOU +2.8%

LAC -5.5%

HOU +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	14.2	14.9	109.0	106.1	105.1
season	14.0	14.8		105.9	106.6
opponent	14.9	15.1		102.1	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.5	13.2	15.8	15.5	14.7
LAC	14.9	14.0	16.2	12.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	28	28	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-6	16	13.1	15.3	-2.21	14.8	14.0	0.76
Marcus Thornton	79	78	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	-1	6	14.7	14.9	-0.20	14.2	14.5	-0.30
James Harden	81	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	-2	8	15.1	13.1	1.97	14.1	14.7	-0.55
Corey Brewer	37	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	0	4	13.5	15.4	-1.97	14.8	13.9	0.95
Clint Capela	40	40	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	4	-4	13.4	15.5	-2.08	14.0	14.4	-0.32
Dwight Howard	60	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	2	0	15.5	13.4	2.08	14.4	14.0	0.32
Trevor Ariza	81	79	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	7	-10	15.4	11.8	3.53	14.1	14.9	-0.82
Ty Lawson	85	84	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.28	-5	9	-14	14.9	13.3	1.61	14.3	14.1	0.21
Montrezl Harrell	9	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	3	-2	13.4	14.8	-1.38	12.9	14.4	-1.49

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-2	0	10.5	14.3	-3.82	15.0	14.7	0.30
Lance Stephenson	45	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	3	-10	15.7	13.1	2.61	13.5	15.7	-2.16
DeAndre Jordan	67	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-1	-2	14.4	13.9	0.54	15.1	13.8	1.33
Wesley Johnson	20	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-3	2	14.6	14.1	0.51	14.6	14.7	-0.13
Pablo Prigioni	36	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-4	4	14.3	14.2	0.14	13.8	15.2	-1.34
JJ Redick	71	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.24	2	-6	8	14.2	14.4	-0.16	14.7	14.8	-0.16
Blake Griffin	77	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-4	4	14.0	15.0	-0.92	15.4	12.1	3.29
Austin Rivers	62	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	1	-6	14.4	14.0	0.34	15.4	13.5	1.92
Josh Smith	26	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	5	-14	14.1	14.3	-0.17	12.5	15.4	-2.89
Paul Pierce	50	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.51	6	-10	16	13.3	15.2	-1.90	14.9	14.5	0.40
Jamal Crawford	39	39	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.44	-1	-3	2	13.8	14.5	-0.78	14.8	14.6	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.51,0.51,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.3,0.3,0.12,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.03,0.05,0	94.2%
CHA 73, NOH 71	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.44,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0	93.6%
MIN 105, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.0%