NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	79		Excitement	3.6 [1121]		MVP	Trey Burke (UTA): +12.7%
Utah Jazz	89		Comeback	1.8 [619]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -9.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarnell Stokes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.09	6	73%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Brandan Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	12	42%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	10	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	25	39%	0.01	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	14	39%	-0.03	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	16	71%	0.15	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.01	-0.04	10	69%	0.14	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.10	11	50%	0.06	4	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Trey Lyles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	6	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	56%	0.03	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	8	39%	-0.01	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	31.3	14.7	24.5	2.6	33.3	130.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +48.7%

UTA +5.4%

UTA +1.5%

MEM -0.7%

MEM -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	14.3	14.9	83.2	92.7	105.1
season	15.7	16.3		103.4	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.8		102.8	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.7	16.0	15.7	16.2	15.9
UTA	17.0	13.4	13.1	13.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	19	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-14	18	16.2	15.8	0.32	14.0	14.3	-0.32
Jarnell Stokes	3	3	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-6	2	19.7	15.8	3.88	9.3	14.4	-5.09
Tony Allen	49	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-7	4	15.2	16.7	-1.45	13.7	14.8	-1.13
Brandan Wright	10	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	-2	-6	16.1	15.9	0.22	19.9	13.7	6.21
Beno Udrih	16	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-1	-8	15.0	16.1	-1.09	14.8	14.1	0.66
Matt Barnes	39	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-8	6	16.9	15.2	1.68	15.3	13.6	1.66
Mike Conley	77	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-9	8	16.0	15.3	0.71	14.2	14.5	-0.26
Marc Gasol	77	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-3	-4	15.8	16.3	-0.53	13.7	16.6	-2.89
Zach Randolph	76	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-9	8	16.0	15.5	0.47	13.8	16.2	-2.33
Courtney Lee	54	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	5	-20	15.6	16.2	-0.60	14.3	14.2	0.09
Jeff Green	55	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-6	2	15.8	16.0	-0.16	14.7	13.6	1.09

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	71	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	1	8	14.3	14.3	-0.03	16.0	15.7	0.24
Derrick Favors	80	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	0	10	13.8	16.4	-2.61	16.6	12.8	3.86
Alec Burks	49	51	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.06	12	-2	14	13.8	14.7	-0.95	16.0	15.8	0.20
Rudy Gobert	74	72	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	3	4	14.3	14.2	0.04	15.7	16.6	-0.93
Trey Burke	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	9	-8	15.8	12.5	3.33	16.7	15.0	1.77
Rodney Hood	64	62	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	6	-2	13.6	15.5	-1.86	15.4	16.8	-1.45
Trevor Booker	37	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	7	-4	15.2	13.7	1.47	15.1	16.5	-1.36
Joe Ingles	25	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	9	-8	14.3	14.3	0.03	15.7	16.0	-0.24
Raul Neto	27	26	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.05	3	7	-4	13.6	14.5	-0.88	15.3	16.1	-0.82
Trey Lyles	1	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	10	-10	15.0	14.3	0.75	11.5	16.0	-4.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 75, CHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CLE 92, MIA 120	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
IND 98, NJN 120	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%